OK.. first off, I'm not supporting him, and I don't agree with him on most issues.
But.. Hillary is becoming over-confident yet doesn't want to show clearly where she stands, and that it will be her undoing. Obama is seen as stumbling over his own positions.
On the other hand, Edwards seem to have a clear plan, while Hillary is still trying to make up her mind and not laying out any clear plan.
2007-10-09 06:08:46 · 15 answers · asked by Think Richly™ 5 in Politics & Government ➔ Elections
It's a possibility but a long shot. But remember, at this time in 2003 everyone was convinced that Howard Dean would be the Democratic nominee. It wasn't until the last three weeks of the Iowa caucuses that Kerry came from behind, took Iowa, and took the momentum from Howard Dean. But interestingly, Edwards is using the same strategy against Clinton that Kerry used against Dean : electability. Edwards is running out of money and really has nothing to lose at this point, if he doesn't win this his career in national electoral politics is likely over, so he has to start to go negative and play the electability card against Clinton and Obama.
But the fact is that Edwards absolutely has to win Iowa if he is to have any chance of winning the primary. He has put a lot of money into the state and there will be high expectations for him, and initially he had a fairly significant lead there, but Clinton's massive national lead eventually had to translate into better results in Iowa, the latest numbers I saw were Clinton 29% Edwards 23% Obama 22%. For Iowa. So there is an opportunity for Edwards or Obama to take over the lead but right now it seems unlikely. Iowa is turning out to be very important though. There seem to be three possibilities: Clinton wins Iowa, and it ends, the Democratic primary is over the night of the Iowa caucuses. Edwards wins, and he can stay in, Obama wins, he and Clinton can stay in but Edwards is likely gone. Mrs. Obama has said that she believes that if Obama can't win Iowa then its over for him, I actually believe that that may not be the case, he could potentially do well in New Hampshire and South Carolina, but with everything so early it could be nearly impossible for an underdog to catch up and it could make life much more difficult for the frontrunner, Hillary Clinton.
2007-10-09 06:45:21 · answer #1 · answered by Super Tuesday 3 · 1⤊ 0⤋
No. If Hillary stumbles, they will go with Barack. If he stumbles, they might consider Edwards. But I think he'll quickly get passed over for Joe Biden, Chris Dodd or Bill Richardson. Edwards has differentiated himself from the other candidates by taking even more extremely liberal stances on the issues than anyone else, except maybe Dennis Kucinich. Dems know they need to win over a lot of moderates, so he probably won't get the nomination unless he and Kucinich are the last 2 standing.
2007-10-09 13:38:19 · answer #2 · answered by Anonymous · 1⤊ 0⤋
I don't think Edwards will get the nomination, he doesn't have the spending power the others do. I'm not sure if Hillary will get it either, since most people I have talked to are not supporting her. Obama is becoming stronger every day. Both in support and in stances. For me, I would really like to see either Obama or Edwards (or a combo).
2007-10-09 14:05:01 · answer #3 · answered by Lisa M 5 · 0⤊ 0⤋
No, i don't think Edwards will get the nomination. He might get picked as a VP candidate, but I don't think he will get the nomination. I think people are afraid to pick him since he was on the losing ticket last time. Not to mention he doesn't have the spending power of Clinton or Obama.
2007-10-09 13:12:19 · answer #4 · answered by jlkbean 1 · 1⤊ 0⤋
I doubt it. Unfortunately neither will the only candidate for the democrats worth considering, Mike Gravel. An election between Gravel and Ron Paul would be wonderful. That would represent an election in which I know the great constitutional republic would be safe.
2007-10-09 13:31:47 · answer #5 · answered by kenhallonthenet 5 · 3⤊ 0⤋
No, i don't think so. Although there is a lot of time before the nomination comes around, Hillary has a commanding lead at this point and I don't see how she can blow it.
2007-10-09 13:18:23 · answer #6 · answered by booman17 7 · 1⤊ 0⤋
No way. Very few people in his own party can even stomach the guy. Plus, throw in the obnoxious wife and his alienating most of the party power brokers, and he probably won't even get the Veep nod.
2007-10-09 13:17:24 · answer #7 · answered by Anonymous · 1⤊ 0⤋
Hillary is smart by not not giving anything away that the Republicans will use against her.
2007-10-09 14:40:24 · answer #8 · answered by Michael M 6 · 0⤊ 1⤋
He couldn't get it last time around. The Junior Senator won't get it this time either. He needs to become a governor 1st.
2007-10-09 13:19:09 · answer #9 · answered by Mike 4 · 1⤊ 0⤋
No. He's too far down in the polls and the primaries start in 3 months.
2007-10-09 13:16:47 · answer #10 · answered by MysteryWriter 3 · 1⤊ 0⤋