Unemployment is 4.7%. It's up from 4.6% - that 0.1% being the entire impact of the "housing crash." There have been layoffs and work reduction for about a hundred thousand folks in cyclical industries - folks who during a five year boom made more than double what anyone with their skillset usually makes (home mortgage lenders are salesmen, they pull a credit bureau and if your FICO score is above the number the underwriters' gave them and your current rate is above the rate their employer is offering, they get paid just for calling you and filling out the forms - people made six figures doing that for a living for several years in a row, that's great but you're supposed to put half of that away).
Other than auto and airlines - which have done poorly for decades so if you went into those trades you knew the risks - everyone else is working. Everyone else's incomes are rising. The stock market is doing well and interest rates are down again. CPI is 2.5%. PPI is zero.
2007-10-06
12:25:25
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4 answers
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asked by
Anonymous
in
Politics & Government
➔ Politics
When I was growing up in the 1970s and early 1980s, one could only dream of CPI under 6, and 5% was considered "full employment" - the best you could do.
I'm not saying Barron's and the WSJ are as optimistic as Larry Kudlow or the IBD, but any negativity in the main financial news outlets focuses on specific asset classes - - - i.e., whether the sub-prime woes will truly spill over into the higher-quality credit markets (I work for a bank, and this really hasn't happened yet). Some outlets think Bernanke dropped rates too quickly and too much - and I agree there, I think gold is going to $800 and not coming back.
But the the complaints are put in the context of a fundamentally sound economy - it's like complaints on WEEI about Dice-K's shaky outing last night.
Is it that the non-financial media have no clue what they're talking about (i.e., many of them still seem to think there's a Phillips Curve) or is it political bias?
2007-10-06
12:30:53 ·
update #1
I.e., if Gore or Kerry had won and unemployment were 5% and CPI 2.8%, would the New York Times and Boston Globe and CNN be talking about the robust economy?
2007-10-06
12:31:33 ·
update #2