He seems to win every online poll going, and as such has been dubbed the internets favourite candidate. He has also been the most succesful candidate in straw polls other than Thompson (Giuliani barely even registers). He recently raised over 1.2 million dollars in a week online, eclipsing the efforts of most other supposed 'second tier' candidates by a country mile. Can this humble and consistent congressman win the Gop nomination, or does his lack of media attention mean he wont get enough people to hear his message? His odds are at 4-1 now to be president- are these the odds of a second tier candidate?
http://www.ronpaul2008.com/straw-poll-results/
2007-10-02 06:58:00 · 16 answers · asked by Paul F 2 in Politics & Government ➔ Elections
No.
2007-10-02 07:01:41 · answer #1 · answered by Chef 6 · 3⤊ 4⤋
He definitely can. Having raised over $7 million already (including over $4 million on Monday alone), he has almost certainly won the money primary (that is, because he didn't raise money early and blow it like his competitors did, he'll have money to spend when it actually matters). And he has the largest amount of real supporters of any candidate (and they organize independently). Ron Paul has the best organized campaign, the best platform (even though the politicians have shifted, most of the American people still want the country to return to following the Constitution), and the money. The only reasons why Ron Paul trails are name recognition and media bias. Very few people consider the media to be objective anymore and the money will allow the name recognition to increase. When Ron Paul finishes in the top 3 in Iowa (1 or 2 people can actually win a precinct at the Iowa Caucus, as turnout is low, so Ron Paul supporters may be able to win that one just by showing up) and the top 2 in New Hampshire (when the New Hampshire independents realize that the warmongering Hillary is a lock for the nomination, they will skip the boring Democrat primary and vote for Ron Paul), he will become a serious top-tier candidate and the rest of the country will look at him more closely. If Ron Paul were to finish above John McCain in New Hampshire, McCain would probably drop out and if he won both Iowa and New Hampshire, Romney would probably drop out. Then, Giuliani could implode (if Ron Paul beats Rudy in NY, NJ, or PA, it would expose Rudy as weak in the very region where he is supposed to be strongest and destroy his chances) and drop out of the race. If that happens, the election comes down to Ron Paul VS Fred Thompson. Fred Thompson is a sectional candidate who only appeals to the military-industrial complex in the south, so the north and west will go to Ron Paul, giving him enough delegates to beat Fred Thompson for the nomination. In order to win, he has to start strong and win a majority of delegates. If nobody ends up with a majority, the other candidates will team up and vote one of them to the nomination.
2016-05-19 14:48:08 · answer #2 · answered by ? 3 · 0⤊ 0⤋
You bet he can win!!!! I still have hope for the US. I think ALOT of Americans are finally coming around and wising up. I have only been following him for 3 months and there has been amazing progress. It is not going to stop growing. Many of the people answering below seem to be mis-informed. Sounds like they watch too much Fox news. If they decide to get off thier asses and actually check out what is happening with the government, their opinions may actually change.
To the Ron Paul haters:
Who wants to raise children in the US when there is no future for the US if this continues?
Remember the play all kids have to do and recite the constitution? Why even do that anymore since you are completely against it?
2007-10-02 12:27:31 · answer #3 · answered by whoever 2 · 2⤊ 0⤋
Well, below is a link to over 50,000 real live people, which far outnumber all the totals of voters counted in straw polls or so called scientific polls, that wouldn't be wasting their time, energy, or money, unless they thought that Ron Paul had a very good chance at primary election time to receive enough votes to be the Republican candidate @ general election time.
http://ronpaul.meetup.com/about/...
Thank you for the question.
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2007-10-02 07:49:09 · answer #4 · answered by beesting 6 · 1⤊ 1⤋
You mention how popular he is on the internets. That represents a small portion of the total GOP voting block. Kucinich is wildly popular among college students, but when it comes to the rest of the Dems he is very unpopular. His only popularity is among the more libertarian GOP who tend to be college aged students who are once again make up a very small portion of the GOP voting block.
2007-10-02 07:03:20 · answer #5 · answered by Anonymous · 2⤊ 0⤋
Nope, not a chance.
BTW, independants in Arizona are not allowed to vote in the presidential primary. The only hope is that after losing the Republican nomination, that Ron Paul then loses the party label he has clung to for so long, and runs as an independant.
2007-10-02 07:07:32 · answer #6 · answered by Anonymous · 1⤊ 2⤋
Ron Paul has no chance, unless independent voters show up at the primary. I hope independents realize they CAN vote in the primary, just go to the poles and choose a ballot.
2007-10-02 07:02:08 · answer #7 · answered by smartsassysabrina 6 · 3⤊ 1⤋
Sorry, not even close. Picking a handful of polls conducted at rallies for Ron Paul or visit his web site is not the basis for showing support.
Ron Paul is CONSISTENTLY rated at 3% or under in every REAL poll conducted. Take a look at http://www.presidentpolls2008.com/ for example. Sure don't see him in the lead....
2007-10-02 07:02:09 · answer #8 · answered by davidmi711 7 · 2⤊ 2⤋
He less than a zero percent chance.
I hate to tell you, but people who do those online polls and who go onto sites like this (myself included) are very opinionated, and relatively extreme politically.
He may do well online, but has NEVER done well in any real election.
2007-10-02 07:51:16 · answer #9 · answered by ncrawler1 2 · 0⤊ 2⤋
You are right. Only on the Internet, which tells us what?
2007-10-02 07:06:00 · answer #10 · answered by Anonymous · 1⤊ 1⤋
Absolutely!!!!!!!!! We have to vote for the change we want to see in this country. Don't waste your vote - VOTE RON PAUL!!!
2007-10-02 07:34:32 · answer #11 · answered by Anne T 1 · 2⤊ 1⤋