Do you think Gordon Brown would win if he calls an election before the end of the year?

Question

Shouldn't he be held slightly reponsibe for the current economic uncertainty, the rises in inflation and interest rates given that he was chancellor for the last ten years.

The fallout from US subprime debt has affected interbank lending, not consumer credit. The initial rise in inflation was caused by high consumption which was enabled by the availability of cheap credit and high employment - the subsequent rise in interset rates was to temper consumer spending. The real effects of the US sub prime fall out haven't even begun to be felt yet. I'm talking about UK economic policy not missold loans in the US.

I suppose my real worry is should he be allowed to ruke without being duly elected?

Answer 1

Unfortunately I think he would be re-elected.

He's not new and he doesn't represent change. He's been B_liars side kick all through the dodgy dossiers, Iraq invasion, war and PFI farce in hospitals and schools.

Answer 2

Yes I think he would win, but more due the fact that Cameron's Tories are in disarray than any great surge of support for the government.

I also think it could be closer than expected though, and I doubt whether Labour could get through it with anything other than a reduced majority. Considering current media and Labour Party expectation's, that would be almost as bad for Brown as a defeat.

I think the most likely time for a quick election is next May (2008), but if Brown has any sense he should probably hang on until May 2010, so that people can really judge him on his own policies rather than on Blair's legacy.

Answer 3

He would probably win an election called this year. But it's a big risk to call an autumn election when he still has two and a half years to go.

The turnout in an autumn election can be so easily affected by the poor weather, that he is risking being the shortest serving modern PM. I don't think it would be in the Labour Party's best interests to have an election this year.

Better to wait until spring 2009 and show us the proof that a Brown government can come up with the goods.

Unless of course, it can't!

Answer 4

It would be a close thing if he called a General Election this year because of the choices. New Labour hurrying to distance itself from actions that they all supported; Conservatives being so squirmy and negative about almost everything and the LibDems somewhere in between. But my bet is on an election NEXT year. I understand your last point but in this country we elect a Parliament and Govbernment NOT a Prime Minister - despite what the Nick Robinsons of this world would like us to think.

Answer 5

Yes I think he could win. Problems there are presently - but a lot of good prosperity has come about as well. The press focus our attention on everything controversial and not the less newsworthy items.

Answer 6

No because its not his fault inflation and interest rats have risen. And the current credit crunch is because of the us market, not the British.

Yes he'd easily win the election, labour would significantly increase their majority.

Answer 7

Good grief, I hope not, he has already ripped the backside oot ma pension and probably many others!! I would hope that the responsible voters wd take note of his Nae win politics and vote fur some other geezer who huz oor best interests at heart!!

Answer 8

Walkover. There is no serious Opposition. The only real question he can/should be asking himself is whether he can crush the Tory scum more comprehensively next May.

Answer 9

Whilst a lot of us won't bother to vote, I think he will still win.

Answer 10

there is no way i want that man elected again.
i'm kinda hoping cameron will come though for us.