does ron paul have a chance?

Answer 1

i really don't think he can win. he seems to attract mainly those conspiracy theorists who distrust government in general and his isolationist policies are not relevant in a global society.

Answer 2

No.
He's already been marginalized and labeled as an isolationistkook by the media outlets that control our access to these candidates.

Also, his support base is among young voters 18-24 who yeah, DON'T VOTE--ever.

Basically, he doesn't appeal to the mainstream adult voters because he is an isolationist constituionalist and his views seem rather naive for a 21st century global economy. Even the averga Joe knows we can't just turn inside ourselves at this point. The whole world is intertwined and we need to deal with people. Paul feels differently.

Even though I respect his intelligence, his life accomplishments and his passion, he isn't a serious candidate for the current state of affairs.

Answer 3

yes a very good one - here is an article that explains that only 6.6 of eligible republicans vote in the primary - paul already has some of the republicans - he has people registering as republicans every day to overwhelm the historically low republican turnout in the primaries -will the electors go along if he wins the majority vote is another story -but if they dont and go with another candidate it would surely skyrocket ron paul to the fronts of newspapers and television as the guy who should have won -the republican nominee will be easy chow for the democrats and the liberal media as the guy republicans dont want or not their real candidate - but honestly this is just a guess of what could happen and I think it will be very exciting to see what exactly does transpire - also as eric from RI points out that vegas has him having the same chance as romney - and the house usually knows the spread in vegas -

Answer 4

Yes, Ron Paul has a very "GOOD" chance, but it's up to us the voters not the news hacks to get him elected. Read his policies! If you agree with him vote for him! Simple!

Here is an excerpt from a N. Y. Times article on one of his congressional elections:

A Lone Wolf

In the first days of 1995, just weeks after the Republican landslide, Paul traveled to Washington and, through DeLay, made contact with the Texas Republican delegation. He told them he could beat the Democratic incumbent Greg Laughlin in the reconfigured Gulf Coast district that now included his home.

Republicans had their own ideas. In June 1995, Laughlin announced he would run in the next election as a Republican. Laughlin says he had discussed switching parties with Newt Gingrich, the next speaker, before the Republicans even took power. Paul suspects to this day that the Republicans wooed Laughlin to head off his candidacy. Whatever happened, it didn’t work. Paul challenged Laughlin in the primary.

“At first, we kind of blew him off,” recalls the longtime Texas political consultant Royal Masset. “ ‘Oh, there’s Ron Paul!’ But very quickly, we realized he was getting far more money than anybody.” Much of it came from out of state, from the free-market network Paul built up while far from Congress.

His candidacy was a problem not just for Laughlin. It also threatened to halt the stream of prominent Democrats then switching parties — for what sane incumbent would switch if he couldn’t be assured the Republican nomination?

The result was a heavily funded effort by the National Republican Congressional Committee to defeat Paul in the primary. The National Rifle Association made an independent expenditure against him. Former President George H.W. Bush, Gov. George W. Bush and both Republican senators endorsed Laughlin.

Paul had only two prominent backers: the tax activist Steve Forbes and the {Baseball Hall of fame} pitcher Nolan Ryan, Paul’s constituent and old friend, who cut a number of ads for him. They were enough. Paul edged Laughlin in a runoff and won an equally narrow general election.
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Answer 5

Ron Paul definately has a chance to win the primaries, but as far as presidendcy, we already know it's rigged and someone from the CFR is going to win, since Ron Paul is a legit person who doesn't follow the global elite agenda, he won't win presidency, but I'm still voting for him, because I like to vote with principle.

Answer 6

In a word, yes !!
I do not look for him to win the nomination from the Republicans -- for the "old school" mindset is simply too entrenched in the main political parties --- BUT -- when he doesn't receive the nomination from the Republicans -- I look for the ground swell of all of his supporters to demand an independent run !!! At THAT point -- I think this man is going to nail a lot of people's thoughts about American politics to the barn door !!!
I definitely believe that he has a rock solid chance of winning this thing AS an Independent !!!

Answer 7

No. I like what he is saying and what he stands for but he is not what the Republicans look for in a leader. If he was ether 6'3" or very well connected then yes maybe but that party is very shallow.

Answer 8

Sorry to say I don't think so. He just doesn't seem to be getting out there. Not sure why, not enough experience with the big guns he is up against maybe? He does make alot of sense but no one seems to be paying attention.

Answer 9

Sportsbook.com rates both Paul and Romney at 8 to 1 odds which is approximately an 11 percent chance of becoming the next President.
http://205.134.167.60/lines/lines.cgi?device=browser&site=sbcom1&sport=754

Ron Paul has more friends in MySpace and more subscribers in YouTube than any other Republican.

As of September 4, Ron Paul has won 9 of 23 straw polls.
http://www.ronpaul2008.com/straw-poll-results/

Mitt Romney's campaign only had 35 percent more cash than Ron Paul after subtracting debts on 06/30/2007.
http://herndon1.sdrdc.com/cgi-bin/cancomsrs/?_08+P80000748
http://herndon1.sdrdc.com/cgi-bin/cancomsrs/?_08+P80003353
Paul's campaign has almost 5 times as much money to spend as Tancredo.
http://herndon1.sdrdc.com/cgi-bin/cancomsrs/?_08+P80003429

Romney's contributions from individuals dropped by a third from the first quarter to the second quarter.
Paul's contributions almost quadrupled from Q1 to Q2.
http://projects.washingtonpost.com/2008-presidential-candidates/?nid=roll_08campaign

Ron Paul received more than 10 times as much in donations in the last week of June as he received in the first week of April.
http://query.nictusa.com/pres/2007/Q2/C00432914/A_DATE_C00432914.html

Ron Paul's $2.4 million in fundraising after the second quarter placed him:
4th in total receipts to date
3rd in total current assets (ahead of former front-runner John McCain, and just $800,000 behind Mitt Romney)

Thus far, 47% of the contributions made to Ron Paul's campaign are donations of under $200 from individuals (John McCain's 17% is the second-highest percentage).
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/articles/ron-paul-small-donors-love-him.html
This is a telling statistic, as it highlights the fact that most other candidates rely heavily upon donations from corporate interests and political action committees (PACs) (i.e. moneyed, influence-seeking sources who can readily afford to contribute large sums). Since Congressman Paul has always voted against special favors and privileges for anyone, special interests know they have nothing to gain by stuffing Ron Paul's campaign coffers. As one member of my local Meetup group put it on a home-made sign, "Ron Paul is thin because he won't let special interests buy him lunch."
http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig8/sutton1.html

Answer 10

Not really. I mean, anything's possible, but he's probably got as much chance as Dennis Kucinich.