Why do weather people try to predict so far ahead?

Question

Ok listen to the weather forcast .
tomorrows weather will be sunny and dry.
just hang your washin out and before you know it you have to rewash them cause its pouring down..
yet meteorologists will give you 2 months in advance weather forcast how can they when they often get tomorrows wrong.
think of all the variables involved in the weather paterns here..if they would just stop guessin and tell the truth that your guess is as good as ours.

Answer 1

They are morons, most of them just read what they are given. My husband watches the weather channel constantly and it just repeats and repeats and repeats and repeats.....yeah, just like that.

Answer 2

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Answer 3

The public demands these forecasts. We know they aren't much good. Anything beyond about 5 days is only an educated guess based on models. But people say they need to know what the weather is like this weekend, or what it's going to be in two weeks. And since we are providing a service to you, we have to bow to your demands.

Have you tried forecasting on a regular basis? It's hard. And unlike you indicated above, we do pretty well with next day forecasts. Look up the statistics.

Answer 4

The agricultural industries and those parts of the country have an interest in long term weather trends.

Long term precipitation prediction affects how civil engineers plan to use the water trapped in underground aquifers. Seasonal rainfall affects how these aquifers replenish over months and years.

Insurance companies need to know long term trends in order to do their business. Stock Market investors also need to know if rain is going to wash out a harvest or if a snowplow company is a good investment.

Global weather patterns affect every aspect of our lives. Your local meteorologist/newsreader may not be much of a scientist, but that does not devalue the study of meteorology in general.

It was the observation of global weather patterns on Mars that lead scientists to realize the dangers of nuclear winter which in turn was instrumental in halting the arms race with the USSR and ushering the end of the Cold War.

They may get predictions wrong some of the time, but who gets a 100% guarranty on anything in life?

Answer 5

Once you have created a position, like news forecasting or damage assessment or NSA (National Security Agency), there will always be people who are willing to fill it and will always be eager to outdo the person before them.

It is a natural evolution of these departments/positions to push the level of capability of their particular service.

In the case of forecasters, the art of forecasting will always progress faster than technology. The forecast is done, and then is seen how accurate it is.

Of course, weather is unpredictable just like you said with all the variables. And forecasters are rarely given credit with correct predictions (unless it saves lives) but are often criticized when they predict wrongly.

~jaz~

Answer 6

Forcasts are general, the north east, the south, the north west , and so on. If you are going to sail to say, west Africa you would need a long range forcast would you not? .

If you want an accurate forcast for your address you would have to pay for it.

Answer 7

Well, in all fairness, it is not always wrong, and not really there fault, they get there information from the satelites in space, so the pictures they send down is our weather forecast. It must be hard to be a weather presenter or a meteoroligist as you are in charge of what we are told, so if it is wrong, you may get bad marks for it.

Answer 8

agreed its just inpossible to look i would say 7 days tops and even that can be sketchy especially in britain the so called experts screwed up the winter forecast and this morning i here these same so called experts are forecasting a cold summer with frost,s etc how the hell can you take them seriously after the farce of a summer they said was going to be the all time best bloody idiot s.

Answer 9

They do so because they need to see themselves how the weather will be for their outdoor activities next week.

Actuall seriously there are weather computer models that predict the weather, using mathematical equations. The meterologists just repeat what the different models are predicting into words that us commom folks can understand!

Answer 10

yea they do this: ( Oh it's gonna rain.) the time comes. No rain. I think anymore, these people are just trying to get into Hollywood. Like that one lady,in a little boat with an paddle. Oh my gosh........it's raining cat and dogs out here. The water soo deep! Right then two guys walk by in the water!! Such a dumb a**!

Answer 11

Ham Radio Operators are usually storm chasers!...I know, I have a really good friend..or I should say several that are actual storm chasers and have been ham radio operators most of their lives...from the time they were little!...no kidding...even know one that is at the storm place in Norman, Ok...have been to a few of their meetings..kind of interesting..if you want to chase storms..me?..No thanks!...I want to be where the tornadoes can't get me!...lol... type in kc5lqa and drop down to the barstool...that actually has a ham radio attached to it!..lol...friends of mine...go figure...