Are there any political analyst on YA that analyzed the election state by state?

Question

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/

Answer 1

Apparently YOU have and very well. I appreciate the link from the University of Virginia and the detailed analysis. I am not unfamiliar with this type of analysis, but have not see it done so thoroughly as in your link.. The site RealClearPolitics has done a good job on this, but it is more piecemeal, i.e. not looking at the country as a whole. Frankly, from an neutral viewpoint, it would seem to me the Democrats have a better chance of picking up more states than the Republicans. For example, the article talks about New Mexico. Granted, it's huge geographically and small in population with only 5 electorial votes, but the Republicans retained one of the 3 House seats by only 700 votes against a very weak Democrat. Senator Pete Domenici from N.M. is up for re-election and is polling the lowest numbers in his very long career per new mexico politics with joe monahan this morning. (sorry can't make the link work) The Democrats seem to have a good chance in the "rust belt" states of Ohio and Pa. and I have a very hard time believing the GOP can take the Pacific Coast states, particularly with only weak support from the governor of California at this time. You may disagree with me, but this is truly my neutral analysis. I'm very used to being neutral. I run a Native American Voting Rights program for 10 tribes that must be non-partisan. Excellent link-thank you. EDIT: I appreciate the facts in the first answer, which wasn't up when I started. Edward looked at past elections. I'm considering 2008 if that wasn't clear.

Answer 2

This contains a partial analysis, near the bottom.

The Life and Death of Democracy


About the time our original thirteen states adopted their new
constitution in 1787, Alexander Tyler, a Scottish history professor at the University of Edinburgh , had this to say about the fall of the Athenian Republic some 2,000 years earlier:

"A democracy is always temporary in nature; it simply cannot exist as a permanent form of government."
"A democracy will continue to exist up until the time that voters
discover they can vote themselves generous gifts from the public treasury."
"From that moment on, the majority always vote for the candidates who promise the most benefits from the public treasury, with the result that every democracy will finally collapse due to loose fiscal policy, which is always followed by a dictatorship."
"The average age of the world's greatest civilizations from the
beginning of history, has been about 200 years."
"During those 200 years, those nations always progressed through the following sequence:
1 from bondage to spiritual faith;
2. from spiritual faith to great courage;
3. from courage to liberty;
4. from liberty to abundance;
5. from abundance to complacency;
6. from complacency to apathy;
7. from apathy to dependence;
8. From dependence back into bondage"

Professor Joseph Olson of Hemline University School of Law, St. Paul , Minnesota , points out some interesting facts concerning the 2000 Presidential election:
Number of States won by:
Gore: 19
Bush: 29
Square miles of land won by:
Gore: 580,000
Bush: 2,427,000
Population of counties won by:
Gore: 127 million
Bush: 143 million
Murder rate per 100,000 residents in counties won by:
Gore: 13.2
Bush: 2.1

Professor Olson adds: "In aggregate, the map of the territory Bush won was mostly the land owned by the taxpaying citizens of this great country.
Gore's territory mostly encompassed those citizens living in
government-owned tenements and living off various forms of government welfare..."

Olson believes the United States is now somewhere between the "complacency and apathy" phase
of Professor Tyler's definition of democracy,
with some forty percent of the nation's population already
having reached the "governmental dependency" phase.

If Congress grants amnesty and citizenship to twenty million
criminal invaders called illegal's and they vote, then we can say
goodbye to the USA in fewer than five years. ----------

Unfortunately, those who pass this on will be members of the
taxpaying public, not the freeloaders.