what is the best way to deal with IR issues, when you know a negative answer can flare an issue .?

Question

knowing fully well that as middle management you know the senior mgt will say no.

Answer 1

Just give the most accurate and honest answer that you can give. In addition, give them alternative ways to arrive at different statistical or numerical results.

Senior management will relate to that.

Answer 2

Some more info is imperative. Good you add detail? I think it comes up if you hover over the plus sign. Meanwhile, here's something to marvel at that may give you the big picture.