What are my chances of beating a 2000 elo player?

Question

I'm ranked about 1600. If I were to go onto state championships I need to beat a couple of 1900-2000 players . What are my chances , with good preparation ?

Answer 1

Yes, it is rare, but scalps happen. As a 1427 I beat a 2198 who was thinking of becoming a Master in round #1 of a 4 round swiss.
(I played the 4 pawn attack versus his Alekhine. He quickly made it the 1 pawn attack, then turned off his brain.)

Answer 2

Well, not good...but it happens. I've beaten 2 or 3 players 400 points above me in tournaments (and probably lost once or twice--or maybe more--to somebody 400 points below). And at one tournament I heard of a 900 player beating a 2100 (!). The opening went 1 e4 Nf6 2 e5 Ng4 (!!)...and the expert actually let him take the move back; then the guy went on to beat him. Boy, talk about rueing that decision...

Answer 3

Not likely, Im rated 1650 and I wish to one day achieve the rating of 2000. Ive been playing for more than half my life and think I can achieve the expert rating, but I know it will take dedication as well as some new understanding and greater depth to achieve it. Even with good preperation, I dont see that it would be likely for you to beat someone of this rating, you know chess is more than just how hard you try, thats why grandmasters have IQ's of close to if not over 180.

Answer 4

I'm afraid I'm not in your league, but tournament results I've looked at it's very rare for a 1600 player to beat someone rated 300-400 points above them, especially if it's an important tournament.

Answer 5

Not good, but 1600 is no slouch. You have to play your best game, be flawless and hope they make that one crucial mistake which will allow you to move in. In chess a grandmaster once said 40 good moves in a row can all be undone by a single poor move.

Answer 6

not good but you must go in with the attitude that they might not be on top of their game that day.

Answer 7

9 percent.