Tropical storm Dean?

Question

I live in New orleans, and I'm following this very closely. How reliable are these types of models?

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200704_model.html#a_topad

Answer 1

Dean could come your way, but it is too early to consider that the most likely possibility. The probability is high that at least one storm will come near New Orleans this season.

You can rely on the Forecast Discussions available at the National Weather Service tropical prediction center. They have nothing at stake and will tell you the truth about what they know and when they were right and wrong.

The hurricane pages on Unisys Weather are very good, as well, and so is weather underground.

Answer 2

Right now the margin of error is too wide to be very reliable. I don't think it is going for New Orleans. The way they were talking about it, it sounded like it was going to turn for the north. I guess just wait and see!

Answer 3

It's way too early to tell whether Dean will even make it into the Gulf of Mexico. But, you might want to keep an eye on that tropical depression currently in the Gulf.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

Answer 4

well im 90% sure that its coming its going to puerto rico as a tropical storm or a cat. 1 hurricane and then gain intensity and hit miami and key west at a cat. 2 or 3 and then hit new orleans and texas at a 2 maybe 3

Answer 5

The models are inaccurate in a way but you should see and track this storm as much as possible because a couple of models show them heading your way.

Answer 6

Meteorologists are forecasting these models due to changeable circumstances for instance wind. If the wind suddenly shifted it could put the storm somewhere in Bermuda

Answer 7

It is reliable enough to give a good old Howard Dean freak yell: HeyAAAAAAAA!

www.youtube.com/watch?v=D5FzCeV0ZFc

Answer 8

I hear its going to go up the east coast.

Its really to early to tell.