Do you truly believe that Tom Glavine may just well be the last pitcher to win 300 games?

Answer 1

No. Absolutely not. It'll be a while, maybe at least 15 years or so, but I don't see why it won't happen again.

I mean, Glavine himself is a shining example of why it could. People say five man rotations spelled the end of the 300 game winner. Guess what- Glavine pitched his entire career in a 5 man rotation. Occasionally he'd pitch 35-36 games in a season, but 35 starts is not all that out of line for the league leaders these days.

People also say that pitchers not going longer in games reduces the number of decisions they get (which, if true, is only marginal- the percentage of decisions by starters on the average today is the same as it was in 1982).

But again, it doesn't affect Glavine as much, as he's never been a 250+ inning type guy. He's cracked 240 exactly three times in his career, which top players in the league can do even these days (Bronson Arroyo did 240 last year, and it was only a few years ago that Roy Halladay did 266 and Randy Johnson did 245+ regularly).

Glavine's never been one to go particularly deep into games either- he averaged over 7 innings a start exactly twice in his career.

I mean, this is ridiculous. People say he's the last 300 game winner because no one else is on the immediate horizon. But these things come in waves. Do you know how many players won 300 games between 1925 and 1982, a span of 57 years?

Three.

300 will come again. Not in a good long while, but it'll come again.

Answer 2

I agree with some of the others. It will be difficult especially since starting pitchers don't pitch as often as they used to. It could happen though. Never say never. In a way it would be nice to see Tom Glavine be the last, but that would be sad too. Everyone always thought that Hank Aaron's record was safe.

Answer 3

It's getting harder and harder as the starters are going less deep into games. Some rules changes might change this a lot. Right now, the game favors the slow slugger who waits for his pitch. That makes it tough to get deep into the game on a low pitch count.

As mentioned already, Johnson and Mussina still have decent, but not great chances. I'd have to say Jeremy Bonderman is the guy with the next best chance, just because he got started so young. Or maybe Livan Hernandez, because he gets a lot of decisions every year, and I can just picture him pitching until he's 45. Put Livan on a good hitting team and he'll go 17-13 every year.

Answer 4

No, i don't think of so, because of the fact those issues are available in cycles. while Nolan Ryan gained his 3 hundredth in 1990, would desire to you particularly say which you observed Randy Johnson, Maddux, or Glavine and theory they have been possibly to win 3 hundred video games at that ingredient? Their careers hadn't been universal yet, and that i anticipate an identical approximately modern pitchers. how are you able to assert for specific that somebody like Santana, Bedard, Verlander or Kazmir won't get 3 hundred some day? i think of that pitch counts would somewhat help extra pitchers get to 3 hundred. short term, specific, fewer innings in a season and for this reason fewer wins. long term, in spite of the incontrovertible fact that, their arm is in good shape and better, so as that they actually pitch extra seasons.

Answer 5

I think it is ridiculous when people say he will be the last. Ten years ago people would say, we don't need more expansion teams, it will dilute the pitching, yet today we have a great number of excellent pitchers in the league. In 1990 people thought that Cecil Fielder hitting 51 homers was outstanding. Now we are disappointed when someone doesn't hit 60.

Times change. While it appears unlikely now, history tends to swing in different ways. In 1962, nobody thought that anyone could hit 73 home runs, but it is a fact today.

Answer 6

Yes......funny that no one mentioned that Tom Glavine or Greg Maddox were questionable steriod users, huh?

Their best years were when they were 24, 25, 26 yo with a great year or two after, Glavine hasn't won 20+ since 2000.

Not like Lamar Bonds, who hit is "stride" when he turned 37 and his best years lasted until he was 41.

Answer 7

Not really... I think Johan Santana, Jake Peavy, Chris Young, Andy Pettite are probably locks for going the 300. Others might but since baseball sees pitchers come and go, its hard to put all your eggs on a young player now that money is the primary focus. More money, more players contiplate retiring. Would like to see Randy and Schilling rach that milestone too.

Answer 8

No. We could see one in 2008 and another in 2011.

Randy Johnson has a good shot at 300 if he pitches next year. He's only 16 wins away.

Mike Mussina could get there too. He has 246 now. If he gets a few more wins this year, and pitches for 4 more years with 12-15 wins per year, he could make it.

Answer 9

Yes, the starters who are coming up now will not get the opportunities to pitch as many innings as Tom Glavine has.
Today, they only look to get 5 or 6 inning from a starter, and that will hold down the number of wins that they'll get.

Answer 10

I don't think last pitcher ever but maybe in this decade....
Some pitchers now are well on their way to 300 wins. But, injuries and bad mechanics will probably lessen the consistency of 300 win pitchers.