Will Mitt Romney be able to maintain his 35 percent lead in financing over Ron Paul in the third quarter?

Question

Through: 06/30/2007

ROMNEY, MITT
Latest Cash On Hand: $12,121,553
Debts Owed By: $8,945,028
12122-8945 = 3177 thousand dollars in current assets

PAUL, RON
Latest Cash On Hand: $2,354,855
Debts Owed By: $0
2355 thousand dollars in current assets

3177/2355 = 1.35

http://herndon1.sdrdc.com/cgi-bin/cancomsrs/?_08+P80000748

http://herndon1.sdrdc.com/cgi-bin/cancomsrs/?_08+P80003353

Answer 1

Ron Paul has received more contributions from all Military servicemen and women than any other candidate. To me, that speaks incredible volumes.

Answer 2

Hard to tell if Governor Romney will end the quarter with more cash on hand for several reasons.

First, Governor Romney is actually spending his money on a campaign. Representative Paul is not. Thus while Romney is outraising Paul by a large number, almost all of the extra money is being spent each quarter.

Second, net cash is not necessarily particularly accurate in this case. Most of the "debt" of the Romney campaign is a loan from Mitt Romney himself. If that money has to be spent, it will be and Romney will have lost that money. (Obviously, he hopes to do well enough to be able to repay that money, but Governor Romney would not be the first candidate to toss a good chunk of personal money away during a political campaign).

Third, net cash on hand at the end of the third quarter is really not important. Instead, the question is how much can the campaign spend between October 1st and February 5th. While Romney may have to bank in some of his spending in the last half of the year, his quarterly spending will still be higher than Paul in both the third and fourth quarter.

Fourth, what ultimately matters is communcating to the voters and getting name recognition. Romney's large expenditures in the second quarter have been relatively successful int this regard. The latest polls show that Romney is in first place in both Iowa and New Hampshire. That was the goal of Romney's second quarter expenditures. If these numbers hold up, Romney has to be considered the current front runner (regardless of the national polls).

Answer 3

A lot of people are getting turned off by all the morons Spamming Ron Paul's name and URL all over the place.

You THINK you're "Getting the word out" but all you're really doing is making Ron Paul look like a moron who needs brain dead Spammers to prop up his popularity.

The endless Ron Paul Spam means the masses will take him LESS seriously, as subconsciously people are categorizing him along with Viagra ads and Nigerians who need to move $5 Million to the US.

I personally think he's the best candidate the Republicans have offered, but despite this, I've come to cringe every time I see his name online. It's the same reason I can never take any Hoodia product seriously, I've seen far too much Spam about it to think of it as more than a joke.

Answer 4

Hello Eric,

I think Ron Paul will win without the backing of the industrial military complex, who seem to be able to create dollars out of thin air.

The Grass Roots Supporters Will get him elected!

By the way, I have some friends who live in Oak Lawn R. I. who haven't heard of Ron Paul yet.

Scituate ave to Cranberry lane & the whole housing complex. I don't want to give the exact address, but I know 2 families that live in that housing tract. If anybody asks, tell them beesting sent you.

I'm on the other side of the country.
Good Luck!
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Answer 5

I had never even heard of Ron Paul until I saw a goofy flyer stapled to a utility pole in Fresno that he was going to be on a local radio station the other day. Then I saw the debate yesterday and thought, ewwwww, who is this old fart? Mitt has the stature to be presidential, but his religious slant will do him in before long. I don't like either.

Answer 6

Potentially, as long as he doesn't make a gaffe

Answer 7

No. It has been written...

Answer 8

i have no idea