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Lea has a pizza business. The times to prepare and deliver pizzas are aprox. normally disributed w/mean =20 mins & standard deviation of 10 mins.
a) Suppose that leo advertises "If it take more than 30 mins to get your pizza, you get it free." What frarction of this take-out-pizzas will he have to give away free?
b) how long a time should Leo allow if he wants to give away no more than 5% of the pizzas?

2007-07-21 07:13:55 · 3 answers · asked by Anonymous in Science & Mathematics Mathematics

3 answers

Z = (x - mean)/ sd = (30 - 20)/10 = 1

P(Z<1) = 0.8413 ===> P(Z>1) = 0.1587

a. 15.87 %

b. P(Z c = 1.655
x = 1.655*10 + 20 = 36.55 mins.

d:

2007-07-21 07:21:44 · answer #1 · answered by Alam Ko Iyan 7 · 1 0

Well, 30 mins =mean+1sd
a) 68% of the data falls within 1sd in a normal distribution, hence 32% doesn't. Half of this (16%) will be below the mean, so 84% of the pizzas should be delivered in under 30 minutes as 68+16=84.
Due to this, another 16% will be delivered after this time, and would be given away for free.
b) unless this is a very high level question, I wouldn't be surprised if it has been asked wrongly, as 5% is the amount that is outside 2sd's above AND below the mean. Assuming that this is a high level question, you have to work out how much below mean+2sd's this amount falls.
95% falls between 2sd's of the mean, but naturally, another 2.5% falls below the mean, outside of 2sd's.
To make this problem easier, we can pretend that the bottom half of the curve doesn't exist, so therefore 47.5% out of 50% is within 2sd's. Within 1sd, this would mean there was 34% (half of 68%). The difference between 47.5 and 34 is 13.5%. This means that as 2.5% of this is required it is over one fifth of the way between 47.5 and 34, in a reverse direction. Simply, this would make your answer about 38 minutes. However, as a normal distribution follows a bell shaped line, you can assume this figure as slightly higher, due to the constantly reducing rate of occurance of a delivery time. Put simply, this would mean your answer is around 39 minutes.
EDIT: Unsurprisingly, the answers you have got so far are all different, this is because it is almost impossible to accurately measure.
If there's anything else you want to know, please contact me via the profile screen.

2007-07-21 14:34:09 · answer #2 · answered by chippyminton91 3 · 0 0

a) the reduced variable to take 30 min is

z= t-mean/std

for 30 min z= 30-10/10 =1

you find in the table the probability 1-0.841= 0.159

b) in the table you find that to have less than 5% you must have z=1.6 so you must give a time 30+1.6*10 =46 minutes

2007-07-21 14:31:38 · answer #3 · answered by maussy 7 · 0 0

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