Predictions on Democratic nominee?

Question

I think Bill Richardson is in a lot stronger position than some give him credit for. Hillary and Obama can't win a general election (IMHO). I also think Edwards is too far left to win the general election. I think Richardson is more moderate in his views and can appeal to the wider base. If Obama, Hillary and Edwards beat each other up, Richardson is going to be looking like a good alternative. Depending on what happens in the primaries, 2008 is shaping up to be a very interesting Democratic convention.

I think Hillary is very bright and makes a great Senator. I don't think she'd be a good President because she'll be able to give free reign to her leftist views. As a Senator interested in running for Pres., she has had to moderate her views. I think what she really believes is very far to the left of what anyone else in the race stands for.- and she'll try and implement it if she gets the White House. In any event, I think there are enough Hillary haters to ensure that she is not electable in the general election. Obama has two negatives. First, I don't think he's seasoned enough - he just got in this game. He needs to learn a few things before he runs for President. Second, I regret to say that i don't think the US is ready for a black man to be President. The time is coming (and soon) but I don't think we're there yet. Many people will vote against Obama just because he's black. To me, Richardson is an attractive dark horse.

In a way, Richardson is in a position akin to Lincoln's in the 1860 Republican convention. A few big players split the delegates, and the convention turned to Lincoln (who started out as a long shot).

Answer 1

Pat Paulson for President!!!! ( you have to be old to remember this)

Answer 2

Your analysis is excellent; except that many Democrats don't like Bill Richardson because he breaks ranks with the Democrat party on a few key issues (such as gun control and the role of the federal government).

Richardson is certainly more electable in the general election, but if he probably won't make it through the primary.

Succinctly, Richardson is to the Democrats as Ron Paul is to the Republicans.

By default (because Hillary is unelectable), it will probably be Obama as the Democrat nominee, and the 2008 election will be another 50/50 split election in relative numbers to 2004 and 2000 election.

If there ever was a need for a dream ticket and an alternative third party, it would be Ron Paul and Bill Richardson (the two have some method differences, but have some very strong common ground on the fundamentals), with Paul as the President and Richardson as the Vice President. Richardson would be a very good Vice President as the VP mainly acts as an envoy (something Richardson is an expert at), while Paul would have a hands-off approach to government to allow the states to flourish.

Answer 3

I think Richardson could have beaten Hillary if the people who got behind Obama had gotten behind him instead. Richardson's on par with Hillary as a debater and his positions are somewhat better.

Hillary has the Democrat nomination locked up already. Obama and Edwards have no chance and have defeated any chance Richardson or Gravel might have.

I think the GOP side is more interesting. The supposed "frontrunners" are an absolute joke. Giuliani, McCain, and Romney are way out of touch with Republican voters. Fred Thompson is pretending to be Ron Paul in order to win more support. The media claims that Ron Paul is a longshot, but he's got strong support, even among Democrats (there are alot of Democrats for Paul groups, which makes sense because Ron Paul stands for what the Democratic Party was founded upon, even though he doesn't stand anywhere near their current positions or those of the GOP's for that matter).

Answer 4

I don't think Richardson has the name recognition to beat either Hillary or Obama. The only candidate that even has a chance would be Al Gore if he ever decided to run. Hillary would make the strongest candidate for the election, as she is slightly more conservative than the others, but all three would be able to easily win the general election as long as the republicans stay in the same shape they're in right now.

Answer 5

Sorry, but it's going to be Hillary. I sincerely hope I'm wrong, but I have never been more sure of anything in my life - Hillary Clinton will be the Democrat nominee for '08. You're right, Edwards is too far left, plus there's the slimy creep factor - he comes across badly even though he's somewhat goodlooking and, it could be said, fairly articulate. Obama just seems to be fading out for some reason. I think people think he's too young and inexperienced - maybe he doesn't want it badly enough to thrash the way Hillary does. I, like you (I'm assuming), would prefer to see Richardson come out on top, because there's a distinct possibility that a Democrat will win the election, and I don't like Hillary's - well, anything about her frankly. But the Clintons are too powerful and have too many favors to call in, plus they have a way of rising and walking when you'd have sworn they were dead. A pact with the devil, perhaps? :) Plus her internet campaign is extremely well-run. But the bottom line is how much she wants it. She wants it, wants it, WANTS it, wants it. You don't have to agree with me, just remember my comments when her nomination comes through. It's a done deal.

Answer 6

R - Rudy
D - Clinton

best race, for ideas and energy:

R - Romney
D - Obama

It is tough to talk only about one, since the dynamics are similar for both. This has been Rudy's to lose from the start and he is slowly putting the race away and will lap his rivals who have little or nothing to say. Clinton will be nominated easier than many pollsters think, since the big money donors have not shown any inclination of backing away fro her......which certainly means all poll numbers are looking good to win what may not be a hotly-contested primary.

Answer 7

If Hillary is nominated, I'm voting for Nader again!

Answer 8

clinton with richardson as her running mate

Hey, thumbs down to what?? It's a prediction!

I'm so sure I'll come back and look at this one in February and do an I told you so... :)

Answer 9

I TRULY HOPE HILLARY WILL BE NOMINATED. WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE CLINTON "LEGACY" IT WILL MAKE RUDYS JOB SOOO MUCH EASIER...

- The only president ever impeached on grounds of personal malfeasance
- Most number of convictions and guilty pleas by friends and associates*
- Most number of cabinet officials to come under criminal investigation
- Most number of witnesses to flee country or refuse to testify
- Most number of witnesses to die suddenly
- First president sued for sexual harassment.
- First president accused of rape.
- First first lady to come under criminal investigation
- Largest criminal plea agreement in an illegal campaign contribution case
- First president to establish a legal defense fund.
- First president to be held in contempt of court
- Greatest amount of illegal campaign contributions
- Greatest amount of illegal campaign contributions from abroad
- First president disbarred from the US Supreme Court and a state court

Answer 10

Whoever gets the most hanky panky.....dems seem to like that.