Will the Republicans lose if they don't nominate Ron Paul?

Question

Face it none of the Independents out here like the leading Republican canidates and they will vote Independent or third party and the Democrats will probably win unless the Republicans nominate Ron Paul and in that case the Republicans will have their base and the Independents on their side therefore winning the Presidency and probably control of the house, I believe if they nominate Romney or Thompson they will lose badly and only get the vote of the hardcore base.

Answer 1

That depends. They will lose if their nomination is against edwards. if it is against billary or obama i doubt it.


We Will Lose As A Country If Ron Paul Is Not Elected. Read the following article about the future finances of US.


BIS Puts Fed Between A Rock And A Hard Place

The Bank of International Settlements (BIS), the central bankers’ central bank, based in Switzerland is one of the most conservative institutions in the world.

As we have already mentioned this week, the BIS, (in their 77th Annual Report of June 24) mention the unmentionable word — depression!

The reason the word “depression” is so rarely spoken of publicly in “responsible” circles is that the mere mentioned of the word could so shatter confidence that it could itself trigger a depression.


The Mother of All Financial Disasters

In our new Financial Intelligence Report, "The Great Housing Crash of 2008," you'll learn why the drop in U.S. real estate markets is likely just the first stage of a global liquidity crunch which could ravish your assets and your investments.

For the BIS of all institutions to mention the word “depression,” in a forecast of dire repercussions, is, to the best of our knowledge, unprecedented, extraordinary, and of very great significance.

Of course, Wall Street and most of the mainline media have taken the BIS report to read that our Fed may be so worried that it will not just hold its rate tomorrow, but might well lower it.

We caution jumping to such conclusions.

In its thinly veiled warning of the risks of depression, the BIS makes some additional and interesting cautionary observations, some of which our readers will recognize as topics we have often raised.

The BIS points to instability in China’s economy as a possible spark to a global downturn.

What is most interesting however, are the most unusual critical references to America.

Criticism was aimed at America’s huge trade and deficit imbalances, with external liabilities growing to over $4 trillion in just five years, between 2001 and 2005.

The BIS found the bubble created by private equity deals and hedge fund activity to be “worrisome” adding that “The levels of leverage employed in private equity transactions have raised questions about their longer-term sustainability.”

Then, rather ominously, the BIS goes on, “Sooner or later the credit cycle will turn and default rates will begin to rise.”

These comments have led most observers to conclude that they represent oblique pressure on our Fed either to hold or even to lower its rate tomorrow.

We, however, think differently.

We note that the majority of central bank members of the BIS are, unlike our Fed, central bankers with only a single mandate, to control inflation, placed upon them by their politicians.

These prudent bankers, such as Jean-Claude Trichet, the powerful, guardian of the euro, have seen inflation threatening. As we have reported, they have been raising their domestic rates for some time. Meanwhile, they have watched the U.S. dollar plunge.

Not only has the fall in the U.S. dollar put downward pressure on exports from their own countries, but it has threatened the role of the U.S. dollar as the world’s main reserve currency.

Most interestingly, in this respect, the BIS took a side swipe at the U.S. dollar, saying, “The dollar clearly remains vulnerable to a sudden loss of private sector confidence.”

We ask, does the BIS mean the loss of confidence, of which we have constantly warned, that could spark a financial panic and trigger a worldwide depression?

Unlike almost all media and Wall Street, we think this can well be read as a most unusual and serious “warning” to the Fed. “Get your house in order before you rock the boat still further and tip us all into the icy water of a depression.”

We see the BIS member bankers possibly reasoning as follows: “We understand that America now faces the serious risk of a faltering economy (with estimated corporate earnings now turning flat after double digit growth throughout 2006) and looming signs of a housing bust; all of which would point to a lowering of the Fed rate.”

“But,” we think the majority of important BIS member banks may say, “Looking at the Pre-Clinton calculation of your CPI, we see your inflation rate at some 6 percent rather than the 2.3 percent that your Post-Clinton CPI calculations indicates. By holding your Fed rate at a falsely low rate, you are firing highly-leveraged speculation with falsely cheap credit, to say nothing of your fast expanding money supply!

"This is not missed by international currency traders who, in turn, are putting such severe downward pressure on your dollar that you are effectively doing what you accuse the Chinese of doing, subsidizing your exports. But, even more seriously you are eroding confidence in your dollar as a reserve currency.

"You now risk plunging the entire world into a financial panic and a resulting depression, from which we all would suffer severely. The time for “dilly-dallying” by merely holding your Fed rate at a falsely low level for purely domestic reasons is over. We think it is time to face international realism and to raise your Fed rate to a level that will reflect the real world in which we all live and so preclude a financial disaster of massive proportions.”

If we are right in our view of the “hidden meaning” (central bankers’ coded signal), in the BIS report, then all bets are off for tomorrow’s FOMC rate setting.

We believe that, all things being equal, the majority of FOMC members want to leave their rate on hold, even lessening the bias expressed in their statement.

However, with the evidence mounting of the housing bust we have long forecast, resulting in a massive unwinding of “stealth risk”; of a leveling-off in estimated corporate earnings, and of a looming domestic recession, the weaker FOMC members may urge a cut in the Fed rate.

However, we believe that Fed Chairman is increasingly worried about U.S. inflation. If he reads the BIS statement as we think it could be read and he receives forceful “informal” advice from his fellow BIS member central bankers, he may even urge his FOMC to consider a toughening of the wording in the FOMC statement or even a hike in rates.

A hike in the Fed rate would come as a great shock. But, we believe that we, in America, can not go on in the profligate manner in which our government has done, without facing some shocks, possibly becoming increasingly severe, the longer decision is postponed.

In summary therefore, we feel that the Fed is in an extremely difficult position.

For the first time in over a year, we believe the way is now open for all three options: a cut, a hold, and even a hike in the Fed rate.

We are truly in interesting times.

Answer 2

This is a very good question, it's the independents that decide the vote, while the left and right balance each other out. I tend to be more independent than defining my allegiance to one party all the time. Ron Paul needs to get into the primaries to even have a chance however, and he needs donations, and thinkers, and people of action. This coming from a procrastinator. I will not let my country down.

And for the people worried about racism, Try to understand context, instead of short sound bites.

Ron Paul's Response
“They were never my words, but I had some moral responsibility for them . . . I actually really wanted to try to explain that it doesn’t come from me directly, but the campaign aides said that’s too confusing. ‘It appeared in your letter and your name was on that letter and therefore you have to live with it.’” - Ron Paul

In Ron Paul's Defense
Says one source, “Ron Paul didn’t know about those comments, or know they were written under his name until much later when they were brought to his attention. There were several issues that went out with comments that he would not ordinarily make. He was angry when he saw them.”

>> Free Market News - Ron Paul Smear Erased

EDIT: Bo_Dean, why leave out the UPDATE from your own source (a blog), where they basically say what I just wrote from another source (a news source)? Did you not want people linking directly to it to see what it said? Pretty low. Here is the full link.

http://www.thedailybackground.com/2007/06/04/racism-in-ron-pauls-past-writings/

Answer 3

I'd rather gargle about 10 pounds of concrete mix than see Ron Paul be nominated for anything.

>“Opinion polls consistently show that only about 5 percent of blacks have sensible political opinions,” Paul wrote in a 1992 edition of his newsletter The Ron Paul Political Report.
>“I think we can safely assume that 95 percent of the black males in that city are semi-criminal or entirely criminal.” Paul was referring to Washington DC, which is heavily populated by African Americans.
>In the 1990s, Paul accepted the endorsements of Larry Pratt, an associate of the infamous White Supremacist and former KKK leader David Duke. Pratt has been featured at neo-Nazi events. Paul has also received the support of a Texas separatist group and racist anti-Martin Luther King and pro-confederacy organizations.

I don't think the REpublican party, let alone America can afford to let a man like Ron Paul run the country.

ThomasS: Wash my wood, buddy!

Answer 4

Well, it seems Y.A. has a hidden censor, so much for freedom of speech.

My scrubbed post contained a link to a news release from Iran which stated that Ron Paul was the only Republican candidate in the Republican debate that wanted peace.

Is that what the majority of Americans want? More wars for no specific reasons?

A Vote For Ron Paul is a Vote For Peace!
**********************************************************

Answer 5

Why would anyone vote for Ron Paul after reading his voting record? Against national Amber Alert, which also meant stiffer penalties for child kidnappers? Wants to abolish the board of education and the IRS? Legalize pot? We have to have SOME control to be a nation.

Answer 6

Not only will the Republicans lose, but America will lose as well!

Answer 7

Wow, with such political acumen and insight, why aren't you employed by the Ron Paul Campaign?

Answer 8

Yes.

They will also lose if they /do/ nominate him, just by a much larger margin.

Answer 9

I'll say yes but what do I know. Wanna bet?

Answer 10

no, they will nominate Colin powel, just wait and see, powel versus Obama.

Answer 11

ron paul will guarentee hellery getting in