Rep nominee:
Guliani 1 in 2 chance
Romney 1 in 4
Thompson 1 in 5
McCain 5/2
Dem. nominee:
Clinton 4/5
Obama 1 in 3
Edwards 15/2
to be elected President:
Clinton 1 in 2
Obama 9/2
Guliani 7/2
Romney 1 in 9
McCain 1 in 6
Source: expekt.com
2007-06-27 14:40:15 · 10 answers · asked by Unknown 3 in Politics & Government ➔ Elections
As of today that looks about right -- those guys know what they are doing. Plenty of time for that to change.
Yupagee: odds are for any one individuals chances for example if you bet $2 today on Edwards and he gets the nomination you get back $17 it's like a horse race. The numbers don't have to add up to 100%,
These guys are professional oddsmakers and obviously they don't buy the "Hillary is too polarizing" mantra and they have real money involved.You can always go over there and through some big money on Rudy if you are so sure.
2007-06-27 14:46:15 · answer #1 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 0⤋
No. First, I think they overrate McCain. He's going nowhere fast, and I think he's pretty much dead in the water. I would rate him currently at about 8 or 9 to 1.
I also think they overrate Clinton and undersell Obama. I really don't want Clinton to be the nominee, so maybe I'm letting wishful thinking rule me here, but I think the majority of the party doesn't want her, and there's a good chance we'll get our way. I'd put her at even odds for the nomination.
I also think Thompson has better odds than they're showing. I'd say he's at about 5 to 2.
2007-06-27 15:24:08 · answer #2 · answered by A M Frantz 7 · 0⤊ 1⤋
Don't forget Ron Paul. He's already gone from 200 to 1 to 15 to 1 in the last few weeks. Think of where he will be in the next few months. 3 to 1?
He's the only electable candidate on either side.
http://www.shoutwire.com/viewstory/71487/Ron_Paul_s_Odds_of_Becoming_A_Candidate_Drastically_Change_in_Vegas
2007-06-27 15:52:36 · answer #3 · answered by KickThemAllOut.com 2 · 0⤊ 0⤋
No. Hillary is too polarizing to be favored to win if she gets the nomination. If Rudy gets the nomination, he will be a heavy favorite in November.
Also the odds don't even come close to adding to 100%.
2007-06-27 14:45:39 · answer #4 · answered by yupchagee 7 · 0⤊ 0⤋
no, and not because the numbers are posted wrong. i think mccain will out pace Romney and Guliani. the smart money would be on mccain. for the rep nomination. in an attempt to restore the rep party to an air of competancy, sanity, and pragmatism or at least give the appearance of that.
2007-06-27 14:57:22 · answer #5 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 1⤋
Hello.
I bloody love British. ALOT!
but, i disagree here. Clinton is bad and evil she can't win...we want a better nation for the american citizens, and as well for people all around..since usually america's actions affect nations internationally..yeah
Goodbye
2007-06-27 18:11:07 · answer #6 · answered by sm 2 · 1⤊ 1⤋
I want Newt Gingrich to run. He's very positive and looking into the future about everything.
2007-06-27 14:44:30 · answer #7 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 0⤋
I disagree... Because, I think Ron Paul will be the next U.S. President!
2007-06-27 15:34:20 · answer #8 · answered by Anonymous · 2⤊ 0⤋
Scary Get ready for socialism!
2007-06-27 15:06:29 · answer #9 · answered by and socialism 4 · 0⤊ 1⤋
They look about right. Go Clinton!
2007-06-27 14:43:41 · answer #10 · answered by Filmnoir 3 · 0⤊ 5⤋