describr the the port moore's law? does the projected value for the year 2010 seem realistic?

Question

issopposobly 800 million estimated
microprocessor is Unknowm? can u help

Answer 1

Two limits are architecture scale and chip area.

Architecture cannot be smaller than a crystal unit cell or the stuff isn't stuff any more. Larger limits are insulation (fixed by hafnium oxide) and capacitive crosstalk (fixed by porous silicon dioxide). 60 nm architecture is in development. 30 nm architecture looks like the basement.

Chip area is limited by the economics of wafer yield (now more than a foot wide), flaws vs. CPU yield (finessed by multiple cores/CPU), heat/throughput (AMD Athlons and Opterons crushed Intel Pentiums and Xeons; Intel fought back), and board connection.

800 million transistors/CPU is entirely reasonable. A dual-core Opteron has 233 million transistors with a 199 mm^2 die size. Quad core in 2008 would be 470 million if nothing changed. Doubling that again is a breeze - sqrt(2) smaller architecture.

http://www.gssnet.com/pr/pr_20060126_deep_blitz.htm
PC-compatible to crush IBM's Deep Blue.

Deep Blue contained 1.15 billion transistors filling an aisle. Five dual core Opterons sum to 1.17 billion transistors. AMD has much larger in throughput at slower clock speeds in-CPU and for external communications protocols.

Answer 2

Hi. The law which states "The number of transistors and resistors on a chip doubles every 18 months." will still be valid for years. If will fail when we no longer need transistors to compute (quantum computing).

Answer 3

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