To answer this question, I think you have to take a look at the careers of two pitchers he is closely compared to:
Nolan Ryan: Elected to Hall in 1999 Career stats of 324 wins, 3.19 ERA, 5714 K (all-time leader), 5387 IP and 2795 BB. 7 no-hitters. Never won a Cy Young award.
Steve Carlton: Elected to Hall in 1994. Career stats of 329 wins, 3.22 ERA, 4136 K, 5216 IP and 1833 BB. Four-time Cy Young award winner.
Randy Johnson: Career stats of 283 wins, 3.22 ERA, 4605 K (second only to Ryan), 3846 IP and 1417 BB. Five-time Cy Young award winner.
So, based on comparative stats alone, Johnson's odds are very good. However, if he can get another 17 wins to get to 300 for his career, then he will be an iron-clad first-ballot lock to get in.
2007-06-06 06:21:23
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answer #1
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answered by sd_beach_bum 2
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The problem with him passing Clemens for 2nd(he's ahead by one) is that Clemens will pass Johnson in his first start this year and then the two will probably go back and forth for the rest of the season. Ultimately Johnson will probably pitch for another 2 or 3 years while Clemens may not, and even if he does it will only be for about half of the season like the last couple of years. So Johnson will more than likely end up number two on the list but no one in the foreseeable future is going to top Nolan Ryan's record for K's.
2007-06-06 12:22:57
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answer #2
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answered by real illuminati(Matt) 3
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He's a no-doubt HOFer, no matter where he finishes on the all-time strikeout list. He'll end up with around 300 wins, he's got 5 Cy Young awards, and he had some absolutely dominating seasons.
As for the all-time record, I doubt he'll reach it given his advanced age. If he averaged 200 K's per year, he'd still need to pitch until about age 48, and that doesn't take into account any injury time. Ryan's record is likely safe.
2007-06-06 11:59:19
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answer #3
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answered by Craig S 7
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Of course he'll get into the Hall of Fame, first ballot for sure. But no one will ever pass Nolan Ryan for all-time strikeouts.
2007-06-06 13:53:45
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answer #4
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answered by Anonymous
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I believe Randy Johnson will be in the Hall of Fame. I do not believe he will last long enough to pass Nolan Ryan.
2007-06-06 12:04:50
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answer #5
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answered by Ace Librarian 7
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Johnson should win 300 games...has won 5 CY Young Awards and a wrold series title. He is guaranteed induction to the H.O.F. as much as anyone right now.
But he still trails Nolan Ryan buy hundreds of K's. He probably won't catch him but he won't need to just to get into the Hall.
2007-06-06 11:59:01
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answer #6
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answered by Tom W 2
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HOFer no question. He won't reach Ryan, but I think he will hold on to second place. Funny thing is he has 1000 less innings pitched than Clemens. If he was more consistant when he was younger, he would have had a chance at Ryan's record.
2007-06-06 13:22:53
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answer #7
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answered by Frank P 3
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Of course he will be an HOF
but as far as passin Nolan Ryan, idk
hes got 1000 Ks to go before even reaching him, let alone passing him
2007-06-06 11:58:50
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answer #8
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answered by TheSandMan 5
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Lets see he is 43 so he would have to pitch til he is 47 averaging 300k's a year to get there so HELL NO! Nolan Ryan's record will never be touched because you just don't see pitchers getting the innings they use to!
2007-06-06 12:40:59
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answer #9
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answered by mrjamfy 4
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He'll get in the HOF and he has more K's then Roger Clemens and 1,000 less IP's. Randy also has 2 no hitters and Roger has zero.
2007-06-06 14:11:28
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answer #10
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answered by Bryan G 2
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