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This is an open-ended question.

Alternatively, is there a way to predict the growth rate of technology?

2007-06-04 01:55:26 · 11 answers · asked by Wise Idiot 1 in Science & Mathematics Astronomy & Space

11 answers

Assuming we are still around in 1000 years to bandy it about, there are some conditions we can predict then extrapolate from.
1. The natural energy supplies of coal, oil and natural gas will have been long gone, forcing technology to have dealt with global energy production much differently than today.
2. The population of the Earth will have had time to exceed Earth's maximum sustaining number, resulting in mass death through either natural or man made causes (or both).
3. Earth's other resources like forests, lakes, sea life and oceans will have been devistated, with the possibility of regaining some foothold, provided we have learned how to survive without destroying them again.
4. If significant nuclear events occur, 1000 years might be enough time for the beginning of new life.
5. If practical space travel has been developed, we would have left this planet for dead to go muck about on some new ones.
Without answering the questions of population and resource management, I defer to Albert Einstein, who when asked what weapons would used to fight World War III said, "I don't know, but World War IV will be fought with bows and arrows."

2007-06-04 02:36:04 · answer #1 · answered by Lorenzo Steed 7 · 0 0

Technology may be the limiting factor in the longevity of technological societies.
If we could get past the 300 to 500 year mark you must wonder what could happen.
Technology is rising in a logarithmic spiral,and has been for a century.
There must be a saturation point,this may be the reason no communication has ever been made with other technological societies like ours.

2007-06-04 02:18:38 · answer #2 · answered by Billy Butthead 7 · 0 0

Suddenly doing a Conan O'Brian Sketch wearing a sparkling necklace of christmas tree ornaments... "In The Year 2000! In the year 2000!... In the year 2000... 1. Virtual Reality and the world's 1st Artificial Intelligence will combine, and The Terminator and The Matrix will seem like a kindergarten playground in comparison, as we all download permanently into the V.R. world, leaving our dying bodies in gooey reality pods that soon become obsolete... 2. Fake boobs will have the ability to nurse babies... 3. Pamela Anderson will nurse me because I'm just a baby...

2016-05-21 00:08:25 · answer #3 · answered by ? 3 · 0 0

I'd have to say the answer to both questions would be 'no'. If you look at all of the things we've learned in just the last 100 years, it's overwhelming. And knowledge progresses at an exponential rate. There's really no way of knowing what the next major 'breakthrough' in science / technology is going to be. Or how it will affect the World (as we know it).

Doug

2007-06-04 02:05:20 · answer #4 · answered by doug_donaghue 7 · 0 0

It's hard to say, because whenever we try making predictions about future technology, we're always seeing it based on what we have now. Case in point: you could see some sci-fi movies from the 50s and 60s that showed "video phones", where you'd call and see an image of a person...with a rotary dial. They also thought we'd be colonizing the moon by now.

2007-06-04 02:00:17 · answer #5 · answered by Anonymous · 0 0

This is completetly impossible to guess at. Think about the most educated people in the world in the year 1007. There were seats of learning in the Middle East, but Europe was in the Dark Ages. How could anyone alive then have predicted computers, airplanes, air conditioning, radio, etc. They did not have the concepts to even think about these things. The stuff we have would appear like magic to them.

2007-06-04 02:09:10 · answer #6 · answered by Sandy G 6 · 0 0

It is my guess that the state of technology in one thousand years will be rocks and stone axes. There is no way to gauge the acceleration and growth of technology but it is certain that mankind is his worst enemy.

2007-06-04 07:14:51 · answer #7 · answered by Joline 6 · 0 0

The answer to the question is base on the "Law of Accelerating Returns" by Ray Kurzweil. Go to the site: http://www.kurzweilai.net/index.html?flash=1

2007-06-04 02:10:51 · answer #8 · answered by Anonymous · 0 0

In all honesty, I doubt mankind will exisit in 300 years let alone 1000.

2007-06-04 02:22:30 · answer #9 · answered by Jin S 3 · 0 0

cmi's and interstellar travel.
cmi = computer mind interface.

2007-06-04 03:23:12 · answer #10 · answered by outbaksean 4 · 0 0

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