Is there a public list of data in the 2004 election results?

Question

You have 50 approximately normally distributed samples, both measuring a value between 0 and 100, and two methods of measuring them.

One of the methods (let's call it the Election Result Method, ERM) is supposedly perfect as it gathers all of the data. The other is a sampling of the data (let's call it the exit poll method, EPM) which has a margin-of-error about plus or minus 1 percent*.

In thirty of these cases (the anomolous cases), the ERM yielded a result outside the confidence interval of the EPM. Twenty-six of the cases gave a value above the confidence interval, while 4 of the cases gave a value below the confidence interval.

Missing info includes:
1) What confidence interval was used in determining the margin of error?
2) How many and which of the 30 anomolous cases resulted in a change between 49 and 51%
3) Probably most important--is there a public list of all the data involved somewhere to torture a 500 level stats class with?

The company that collected the data was called Edison Media Research.

Edison-Mitofsky performed an independent analysis of the data:

http://uscountvotes.org/ucvAnalysis/US/USCountVotes_Re_Mitofsky-Edison.pdf

But is the data publicly available?

Answer 1

The site below is a good site for detailed information on the official returns. You can also check the Secretary of State's sites for the individual states. I don't know where you would find equally detailed info on the exit polls. The detail level poll data is proprietary information and may not have been made public.

Answer 2

Exit polls were initially designed to help the news media project winners early and to develop demographic profiles of voters by who they voted for. So for you to say that these have a margin of error of 1% is a misleading number. These are verbal and not all people take the poll and those take the poll may or may not share how they voted, and the location of the polls are a big factor. Too may anomolies to give these numbers any real credibility.

Answer 3

Exit polls have never been accurate. They have fallen outside of the confidence level.

You may find your data list right beside the diagram of where they put the explosives to bring down WTC 7. I cannot remember who has them...Santa Claus or the Easter Bunny.

Put your foil hat back on...the republicans are trying to melt your brain.