How is the balance of global power likely to change over the next 50 years?

Answer 1

The Chinese will invade America we should be ready for that because they are dangerous. They just tested out a missile that could make the US vulnerable to nuclear attacks. The missile is designed to bring satellites down. Amazing how they are getting away with this. Bush needs to invade China not Iran. China is more of a threat than Iran.

Answer 2

I think globalization and economic interdependence will increasingly even things out. For instance, right now, we wouldn't bomb China because they produce too many of out goods, and they wouldn't bomb us because they are too dependent on our purchases. This trend should increase to a higher degree and for more and more countries.

The idea of "power" will also shift. Right now it is military might and economic muscle. I think economic muscle will become increasingly important and military abilities will be less important.

I think the key to dominance will be intellectual property. Land and agriculture used to be the benchmark of prosperity. During industrialization, labor eclipsed land in importance. Later, capital investment (machinery, etc.) eclipsed labor in importance. Today, our economic well-being seems to be more of a function of technological innovation than the other factors of production (although they are still important).

Answer 3

I predict we will have several more capitalistic nations in the world. As a brand new middle class emerges in these nations they will demand more liberty and less government control. Liberty is highly contagious. Therefore, there may be many more challengers for the title of world power but they will probably be much more like America than like they are now.


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Answer 4

In the not to distant future many things r going to play a large role in the restructuring of existing spheres of influence. Europe has already created a united nations of europe that is larger then the US market, and invested heavily into the acquiring of US companies. They also wield a stong hand in influencing American policy. Just ask Jack Welch the premier CEO of the last 20 years, why GE couldnt buy Honeywell...the EU said he couldnt!! The chinese are growing in influence mainly due to pure volume. They have 250 cities of at least 1 million people. Thats alot of labor, and alot of mouths to feed. They are going to have to extend their sphere inorder to feed let alone support their future population. Islam is another culture that is infusing itself strongly on many areas of the world and it will be interesting to see their role when the oil power they currently wield fades away in the future. Hopefully they had the commonsense to develope other streams of income.

If I had to wager my two cents i would venture the guess that geographical spheres are going to develope, and alliances among 5 groups will decide world dominance. The Four communities will consist of the US and their western sphere allies. This group may or may not include a North American Common market structure or not. The Eu will have their own community involving their member nations and those tied in to them thru existing relationships. China will have developed their own sphere, it may not extend out as far as others but they have done a very good job developing alot of self reliance. The Fourth sphere will be the Islam Community. In the past they have been set aside as a religious denominator, however they r moving out and developing strong ties to all countries surrounding them. Many ex USSR states r muslim dominated as is many african states and a large portion of many other large nations is populated by a large minority of muslims. Muslims are also pro active and non tolerant. I hate to say it but they remind me of the roman catholic church of the past in many ways. The fifth and final group are the wild cards. These are nations that do not have many direct ties to geographic neighbors, but hold existing alliances with currently listed powers. Countries like India, Australia, Brazil, malaysia, and Taiwan all fall into this realm. They r industrialized nations that may feel ties to one or more of the previous groups listed but are not close enough to have assumed affiliations.

In the end a balance will be created by a shifting of influence and the creation of opposing factions. Groups will ally themselves in configurations that closely fit their cultural preferences at first. However after a time they will also want to play an ever increasing role in their own self destiny. Europe has come out and said that they wanted to create a united front in order to build a opposition to the amarican super power post cold war. We all know the Muslims hate america, and China has not yet let it be known where they stand. The wild cards will go as they feel is representative of their best interests and I hate to say it but existing third world countries will probaly be treated as natural resource depots and thats about it.

I believe that the affiliation of the afore mentioned groups will switch over time with a constant ratio of 2v3 and 2v2v1. The switching will be caused by current issues and recent geographical disputes. Some will feel that they r not be treated as an equal and will seek out another grouping in order to attempt a move up the food chain.

Our world is coming to a point of over population and the battle for self sustained growth is almost over. These groups will be allying themselves in order to gain the best foot hold on the abilities to food, house, and care for their core populations, even at the cost of others.

Answer 5

china will become top dog.

Answer 6

hopefully we can aquire it all