They're never even close to being right, so what's the point. How do we take their prediction serious?
My opinion, it's more food to feed the global-warming fanatics.
Does that not make sense?
2007-05-25 06:57:28 · 11 answers · asked by Robert S 2 in Politics & Government ➔ Other - Politics & Government
Okay, so a few of you think it's to warn those of us (that's me) who are in a hurricane threatened area. They have no clue where they're gonna go......so, they are clueless at the amount and VERY clueless at where they're gonna go. Not to mention, everyone in a hurricane area is, for the most part, protected (common sense wise).
2007-05-25 07:13:40 · update #1
I remember watching a news conference 2 years ago.
Where the National Hurricane Center was congratulating on predicting a busier than usual hurricane season.
Until a reporter ask, this was the first year the National Hurricane Centers predictions had been right in the last 11 years, so why the self congratulations for being right, one time ?
You could have heard a pin drop, it got so quiet.
For the Record, the National Hurricane Center has predicted each of the last 13 years, that we would have a busier than usual hurricane season.
Only the 2005 hurricane season actually turned out that way.
So over the last 12 years, they were right 8.3% of the time.
2007-05-25 07:10:17 · answer #1 · answered by jeeper_peeper321 7 · 1⤊ 0⤋
Yeah, that doesn't make any sense at all.
The weather predictors are actually RIGHT most of the time. And global warming is real, and when temperatures go up, so do hurricanes. A hurricane could hit New York City. I know that's always been the case, but if the number of hurricanes keep going up, then I'd be more and more worried about it. All you have to do is look at recent weather anomolies to realize there's something weird going on. If that makes me a fanatic then I'm a fantatic.
If I'm making it too much of a big deal, I'll be glad to apologize when history proves me wrong. If all these weather catastrophies stop happening I'll shut up.
2007-05-25 07:12:35 · answer #2 · answered by Paul 7 · 0⤊ 1⤋
They do those predictions every year. And they are meaningless every year. They can't predict local weather with any degree of accuracy more than a couple of days out. Yet they come out with these numbers for five months down the line. Last year's warning sounded a lot like this year's and, basically, nothing happened.
True, there has been a little plug put in for the global warming crowd, but that's usually done by the TV or radio talking head that is presenting the story.
2007-05-25 07:08:56 · answer #3 · answered by Anonymous · 1⤊ 1⤋
I don't think it has anything to do with global warming - they've been trying to predict such things longer than that has been an "issue".
They do it because hurricanes are dangerous, prediction helps with the warning and fear factors of large populations in hot zones (if you live in Miami, Galveston or other hurricane prone areas you're grateful for such interest).
That's like saying we shouldn't have predictors in place for tsunamis. When the big one hit in the Indian Ocean people wished they'd been in on the prediction net. It's an ongoing science thing - the more scientists work with the data, the more accurate it becomes. It's how we grow as a species.
2007-05-25 07:05:17 · answer #4 · answered by Zasu 5 · 0⤊ 1⤋
Man, I totally asked myself this yesterday! Basically, from what I understand, we just don't know how. "Earthquake prediction is more or less like hunting for the perfect storm; we know it's gonna happen some day, we know approximately where, but we can only detect it just before or while it is actually happening. Not even seismologists, the scientists who study this phenomenon, can say that there's one reliable and reproducible prediction technique. The most advanced one they have is the seismic hazard assessment program, which estimates the probabilities that a given earthquake or suite of earthquakes will occur."
2016-05-17 21:22:54 · answer #5 · answered by stephaine 3 · 0⤊ 0⤋
It started because we didn't have the technology to track hurricanes and give warnings on an hourly basis. Nowadays it's really worthless. The public can be kept up to date easily and it's used more as a political (global warming) thing now.
2007-05-25 07:07:11 · answer #6 · answered by LIL_TXN 4 · 2⤊ 0⤋
I think they are still trying to figure out how to better warn people. Nature is unpredictable, but we are better at predicting it than we were 20 years ago, and more lives are saved because of the efforts. Why not try to make things more fine-tuned? Even guessing wrong is better than not trying at all, and the more we observe and get wrong, hopefully the more we learn.
2007-05-25 11:01:06 · answer #7 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 1⤋
It makes for good TV ratings in areas affected by hurricanes.
2007-05-25 07:00:55 · answer #8 · answered by Anonymous · 2⤊ 1⤋
What I really love is the way that the global warming kooks have hedged their bets so much that no matter what happens it proves that global warming is getting worse.
2007-05-25 07:02:56 · answer #9 · answered by Anonymous · 2⤊ 1⤋
ok, but maybe they are trying to warn the public in case one does happen. better safe then sorry. but your right it can become a scare tactic sometimes
2007-05-25 07:01:17 · answer #10 · answered by Jahpson 5 · 2⤊ 0⤋