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i'm going to a fun carnival with my friends this saturday and i really dont want to rain cuz that means we can't go .. so i checked the forecast for this saturday (im in north new jersey), and it says there'll be Showers, 40% chance of PREP ... is that a good sign or bad sign?? let me know guys, thx you so much

2007-05-14 15:59:17 · 10 answers · asked by Yahoo! King 1 in Science & Mathematics Weather

10 answers

Showers are from cumulus clouds. They can be light or heavy, depending on the depth of the cloud (determined by the low level moisture and the inversion level). Showers usually only last for brief periods of time. They will not affect a large area at the same time. So for a given point, showers are hit and miss by nature. Personally, I would not let showers stop me from having a good time at a carnival. If a shower happens, just find some shelter for 20 minutes or so and then go back to having fun again.

2007-05-15 11:29:29 · answer #1 · answered by Anonymous · 0 1

Showers are normally considered to be moderate rain falling straight down without much wind. One consequence is that an umbrella can keep you dry. If there is wind, then they are more likely to be thundershowers. 40% depends on usage and is a battle I have with local weather forecasters. Now it seems to mean that 40% of the area will get measurable rain (more than a trace) so there will absolutely be some rain somewhere. It used to mean that under these conditions 40% of the time it rained - which means that 60% it did not and when it rained everyone could get wet or only some of us. Forecasters like the former because they can look at a rainfall map and "prove" their forecast was right, but notice they never tell us what the actual coverage was. NOAA weather radar sites (www.noaa,gov) have a selection that shows the actual rain coverage in a storm.

2007-05-14 16:07:19 · answer #2 · answered by Mike1942f 7 · 0 1

Showers mean periodic Convective Rains that can produce a Moderate and Heavy downpour of rain for about 15 minutes, then get a break, then another downpour again. They don't have to be convective, but meteorologist associate showers with convection because of their Isolated nature and development. If it was just plain steady Rain, then the forecast would say "40% chance of rain".

2007-05-15 04:34:42 · answer #3 · answered by Anonymous · 0 1

It means that there are a bunch of people who climbed all the way up to the clouds on a really tall ladder with a shower heads and really long hoses. They usually connect the hoses to fire hydrants on the streets. Then they direct the shower heads in random directions so that people think that it is raining.

The weather people are not that dumb though and they see what is going on on the radar/sonar. So they tell you that it is going to shower (not rain) on a day that they see those people climbing on the ladder.

Showers even feel different because usually the fire hydrants can't produce enough pressure for the water that comes from the sky to be as powerful as rain.

2007-05-14 22:55:41 · answer #4 · answered by liquidicy 3 · 0 1

Bad - sounds like it's almost 50/50 that it will rain. But then again, it's still several days away. If the forecast stays the same or worsens over the next couple of days, I would skip the festival.

2007-05-14 16:06:51 · answer #5 · answered by katzchen75 4 · 0 1

It all depends on temperature, humidity, and dew points. 40% is pretty low and it sounds as though they would be scattered showers or showers of short duration.
If the humidity rises and the air gets saturated then there would be a good chance of showers. If the humidity stays low there will probably be no showers.
Check your local NWS station two days before you go.

2007-05-14 16:08:40 · answer #6 · answered by Anthony W 3 · 0 1

Showers are liquid or solid precipitation from a convection cloud and is distinguished from the precipitation,intermittent or continuous,from layer clouds.Showers last for short duration and have rapid fluctuations of intensity.You can go ahead as it will not affect much.

2007-05-15 15:42:37 · answer #7 · answered by Arasan 7 · 0 1

Think positively. Half the time the weather forecasts are wrong.

My Comliments

2007-05-15 06:36:01 · answer #8 · answered by Faceless 4 · 0 1

showers means a bit of rain not the heavy rain its just like drizzling......

2007-05-14 18:49:31 · answer #9 · answered by Billie Jean 5 · 0 1

rain

2007-05-14 16:06:53 · answer #10 · answered by Anonymous · 0 1

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