Three years, and one sect will defacto control Baghdad. At that time, the odds of a bloody civil war will have diminished, as all three factions will have withdrawn to their respective cultural centers.
We are basically refereeing the exodus (without acknowledging we are doing so).
We'll be damn happy when the migration is complete, and we can come home, having averted a major internal war, and possibly a larger regional involvement in same.
But no "diverse/racially mixed" country will remain. It will be three regional districts, with common interests. A confederation, at best.
2007-05-04 16:29:23
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answer #1
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answered by Anonymous
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The only time that Iraq was stable was when Saddam was in command. He is gone and so is the stability. Sunnis will be fighting Shiites until the end of time. It isn't only political but religious and this means that they will fight indefinitely. The Quran says that a Muslim cannot slay another Muslim. The Muslims apparently do not abide by their own dictates. America should pull out and leave the Muslims to settle the situation by themselves.....which will never happen. Iran will move in and the Shiits will slaughter the Sunnis. And what about the Kurds. They will suffer very badly. Iraq is a mess and I don't believe that it will ever be straightened out.
2007-05-05 09:07:10
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answer #2
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answered by Anonymous
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No. Here's what willhappen (timetable depends on how long the US remains, not on what we do):
After the US withdraws, regardless of the apparent stability/level of violence, the anti-government forces will overthrow the regime the US put in place.
There will probably then be a period of bloody chaos until one or another faction seizes control. That MIGHT be avoided if the group that removes the existing regime is well organized enough to establish itself quickly. But that is unlikely.
This new regime will be anti-American--but if we do make an effort--and continue it--to provide humanitarian aid and assistance in rebuilding Iraq after our troops leave, along with good-faith negotiations to improve relations, we can gradually overcome this.
If we do not take that approach--and a similar good faith effort at building relationships with other countries in the region, we will precipitate a general conflict in the region--probably leading to a third world war.
2007-05-04 23:39:02
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answer #3
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answered by Anonymous
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Right around the time they find a connection between Iraq and 9/11 (next to Jimmy Hoffa's body).
2007-05-05 00:15:51
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answer #4
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answered by Anonymous
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It will never be stable. The conflict has been going on for years and will continue for years to come.
2007-05-04 23:28:51
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answer #5
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answered by Misty Eyes 6
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With a united effort, months.
However, if we have to continue to fight two fronts - the terrorists in Iraq and the liberals on the home front - years.
2007-05-04 23:32:02
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answer #6
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answered by LeAnne 7
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Multiple years.
2007-05-04 23:29:04
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answer #7
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answered by Timothy M 5
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does it matter,Dem,s will have full control soon,and Hillary said she would bring home the troops.whats the point,is their a point that we will be there in 5 years or so ,when the Dem,s have said they want every combat troop out .never is the logical answer,just don,t tell anyone I said that.hail Bush
2007-05-04 23:37:34
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answer #8
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answered by freepress 2
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I have a feeling it will last much longer than it should considering the opposition the Dems are showing. Nothing like support for the enemy to encourage them to continue in their ways.
2007-05-04 23:31:31
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answer #9
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answered by JohnFromNC 7
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First off... They have never been stable, and something that has never been stable takes a lot of work.
2007-05-04 23:28:44
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answer #10
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answered by Anonymous
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