Searching For Intelligent Responses to This. . What Would Happen To Iraq, If We Broke Our Promise And Bailed?

Question

Before you answer , consider this. . . . Iraq is not able to defend themselves from anybody . They only have a handful of tanks and military planes and I'm not sure about their Navy, but I'm guessing that's in the same state as the rest of their military .

So I asked . . what would happen to Iraq. . . But I also I want to know . . . what would happen to the USA and any trust that we may need in the future . Nobody would trust our word. . IMO .

Your turn folks. . . What would happen ?

Argle Bargle Gargle Wargle - Hey man, are you ever gonna answer the POSTED question ?

Answerman - Now that you've gotten that off your chest. . . How about answering the dang question ?
BTW, the promise was to stay until they could defend themselves . But let's try baby-steps and answer the question .

Answer 1

The estimates I have heard are saying that if we withdraw our troops you are looking at a mass genocide of one million and the displacement of more than 500k. i have heard this from 2 people. One a congressman, and one a conservative talk show host. The information they had was given by the military intelligence report. I'm sure these numbers are not 100% but they would be pretty accurate given the current population in the country. I also mentioned these were from a conservative. I'm sure by saying that they will be spun. As far as the US, following the genocide, power players would then move into Iraq and set up shop. They will take it as a victory. They will regroup then bring the battle to our soil with the feeling that they have already beat us once. We are foolish to not think that there are not already cells here just as there are cells working in Iraq today. the cells in Iraq don't fear our military there, why would they here? I know since my post is kinda long only you will have read this far and I think you think the same as I do, so I'm wasting carbons typing this, lol.

Answer 2

Oh boy. First, before I get to the promise, yes, the USA is respected. Maybe not by a handful of foreign Y!A readers, and some deluded Americans, but that's not important.

Next, let's restate something. This is not a USA war. This war is a result of UN participation in an effort to uphold the charter (found at the first link below.)

Now let's talk about the promise.

Under the charter all members agree to accept and carry out all decisions made by the Security Council.

The UN concern was largely based on human suffering and lack of dignity and Iraq's never ending quest to anihilate whoever opposed their radical Islamic beliefs. Not to mention genocide. The UN's purpose is to promote human rights, control aggessive behavior in a effort to keep the peace around the world. When an enemy of peace is identified, then the UN has to deal with them.

The five perm: US, UK, Russia, China, Germany, France along with the other 10 members signed resolutions to use force if Iraq did not comply. America and the UK are the only two countries of the perm five to actually have the balls to follow through with what they'd promised by signing the resolutions.

The UN Security endorced U.S.-British occupation of Iraq because unlike US media and the liberals of this country, the UN understood that history could not be reversed by the power of Security Council veto. They knew that transatlantic relations would be harmed if we pulled out, and that would render the UN irrelevant, and prolong the humanitarian crisis facing the Iraqi people.

Russia, Germany, and France have proven that they are not trustworthy, that they won't stand by what they vowed by signing the resolutions, and that they don't mind playing the blame game to try and make themselves look better when millions of lives are at stake.

If we pulled out of Iraq now, Iran would slither in and try to take over. Eventually, we'd be pulled into the fray by one of our allies and we'd be right back there fighting. OR, worse case scenerio: We could also look for Mexican involvement (Read your history on WWI and WWII) and with our borders like they are, well, let's just say if Japan could be bought, wouldn't Mexico come a lot cheaper?

And trust if we pull out, the very people raging and bitching and screaming about us being there will be the first ones to condemn us.

At this point, I think we should bring our girls & boys on home, build big a.s.s walls around the country, shot to kill anyone who tries to get in, and tell the rest of the world to fuc% off.

Answer 3

He promised to help them create a democracy. Ironic considering I am starting to feel as though we are not a democracy anymore but a dictatorship. Oh I know I offended all ofyou Bush supporters. Please dont say He has done a really great job. He hasn't we now have poor and upper class the middle class is being wiped. If we spent a third of what this war cost on something like tuition than maybe we would have more children in college.

Answer 4

The current government may very well collapse. There likely would be civil war that would rage for a very long time.
But, money talks and BS walks. The richest neighboring nation, which is Saudi Arabia, would likely influence the direction of Iraq the most.
In time, Iraq will settle down to whatever system they fight to have in place. I think it may be time to consider letting the country of Iraq evolve on its own.

Answer 5

I would speculate that the civil war in Iraq would worsen rapidly. Terror attacks by both the Sunni's and Shites would increase expotentially and assasinations of potential political leaders would be a daily event. I also speculate that coups of the government will become commonplace.

Without the ability to defend themselves from external threats it's possible other middle eastern nations may try to take advantage of that; particularly Iran who may want revenge for the Iran-Iraq war. I think it goes without saying that Al Qaeda would set up operations in Iraq as well.

As for the US, clearly Bush will be blamed and there will be lots of Dems and Libs screaming I told you so. It would be a lose/lose situation. Not only will there be those saying we told you this war was a bad idea, but you will have those who saying we "cut and run" and that we should have done more to stabalize Iraq. And I would speculate the international community will hate the US more than they already do. Plus pulling out of Iraq will weaken the US as a world power, but that's just what I think.

Answer 6

Broke our promise? I don't recall making any promises. Do you? Congress gave Bush authority to depose of Saddam Hussein and get rid of the weapons of mass destruction which were a threat to the US. The first was accomplished a long time ago and the latter never existed. If we left, most likely the Civil War between the Sunnis and the Shiites would continue until the Iraqis figured out how to have some stability and peace in their own country. I've got news for you, nobody trusts our word already. The Bush administration has already broken enough treaties, violated the Geneva convention, and our own constitution enough times to make the rest of the world look at the US as an untrustworthy and out of control superpower.

Answer 7

Ok who does trust us.. start there.

Iraq would turn into seperate states like it was long before it became a fabricated country. I want to know why we should care, and what would have happened to Iraq if we didnt go there...yeah I know too late...

Iraq is a seperate state, just Saddam killed everyone that was not his people, so you never heard anything else. It's Shiites and Sunnis, which that would be like Catholics fighting Baptists wouldn't it.. that is why we live here, being there just seems so stupid.

Answer 8

In the first place, the U.S. did not promise to stabilize Iraq. That was not the purpose of the invasion. The purpose was to overthrow the Saddam Hussein Regime and this was accomplished. It was only after toppling Saddam that the ideas of rebuilding and defending Iraq came up. Iraq has the ability and the equipment to defend itself. If Iraq falls to a neighbor, it is because of a lack of will. If we leave, they will rise or fall on their own merits. The U.S. essentially broke promises made to Saddam Hussein by invading during the Gulf War and cutting off military aid. There is not a whole lot of trust out there to lose.

Answer 9

It would basically break down into a war between Saudi Arabia and Iran. The Saudis would support the Shi'a faction of Iraq and Iran would support the Sunnis. They would each protect their own interests in their populations, but I don't think either side would end up being clear winners. Eventually a leader would take over and probably be a lot like Saddam.
I think this will happen no matter when we leave.

Answer 10

If we leave Iraq, the insurgents may or may not destroy it's newfound freedom and infrastructure. I say it is not worth the risk of finding out. Destruction of Iraq as a nation rich in oil reserves would be detrimental to the free world.