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I've heard that the astroid Apophois going to narrowly miss the Earth on 4/13/2029 and might come back later and actually hit. Just how likely is this to occur?

2007-03-29 03:35:05 · 3 answers · asked by Vazacaks 1 in Science & Mathematics Astronomy & Space

3 answers

Preventing the disasterous collision between the Earth and an asteroid is now within our technological capability. It is very unlikely such a thing would happen within, say, the next 100 years. Even now, NASA has been tasked with predicting almost all of the serious collisions for the next few centuries. This involves detecting all the asteroids that might be a problem.

P.S. If you need to worry about something, worry about global warming---it's a much more likely threat.

2007-03-29 03:44:58 · answer #1 · answered by cosmo 7 · 0 0

I'm not worried. The impact probability for April 13, 2036 is now estimated at 1 in 45,000. An additional impact date in 2037 has been identified, however the impact probability for that encounter is 1 in 12.3 million.

2007-03-29 11:04:11 · answer #2 · answered by campbelp2002 7 · 0 0

You heard wrong. The chance is just about zero now that they have better orbital data.

2007-03-29 10:45:26 · answer #3 · answered by Gene 7 · 0 0

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