Which picks are locks vs too risky in 2007 fantasy baseball?

Question

Which players are consistently good and which ones should I be worried about (and not listen the hype about them).

Thanks!

Answer 1

Risky picks- I'll give you some. Dan Uggla, Ryan Howard, Carlos Lee, Sizemore, Morneau K Rod, Mo Rivera are all guys that had career years last year and will no doubt have solid years but can not repeat what they did last year.

Locks- Albert Pujols, Soriano, Beltran, Wright (could even get better), Halladay, Manny & Papi, and Carlos Zambrano.

Answer 2

Consistently good - the important word here is "consistent." Players that have shown their value for several years in a row would include Pujols, A-Rod, Ortiz, etc. Low history of injury with decent numbers even in their "off" years.

Risky - this is usually a player that just had a career year or is supposed to be a rookie phenom. Odds are that guys like Howard and Morneau won't have repeat years (but even if they come close, they are worth a reasonably high draft position). Dice-K could go either way, but that is the risk. He is essentially a rookie in MLB. Another example is Alex Gordon. He MAY be great this year, but it will be him and Teahen against the world in KC. That makes him a big risk. Also, consider the injury history. Think Harden (been lights out in Spring), Crosby, Prior, Wood, etc.

Answer 3

There exists one player who could be risky yet if the hype that comes with him proves to be true, he could be a lock as well. This player's name - Daisuke Matsuzaka. I am sure the fans in Boston would agree with me whole heartedly.