Is it possible that in the year 2036 that we could avoid being hit by the moeteorite thats going to strike ?

Question

How are we going to avoid it...do u think missiles could work? Are we going to be doomed...the whole earth?

Answer 1

This is the asteroid that originally was given a relatively high probability of hitting us in 2029 (2.9%). Of course, it's hard to calculate an accurate orbit for such large orbits in just a few days (the object's hardly moved in the sky). Additional observations eliminated any chance of a collision in 2029, but raised the possibility of a collision in 2036.

That's still a very uncertain possibility with a very low probability. One problem in predicting the 2036 orbit is that the asteroid will be close enough to the Earth in 2029 that the Earth changes the asteroid's orbit. To predict how the orbit will be changed requires a very accurate orbit calculation - something that can't be done without more observations.

After the 2029 close approach, we could know for certain the chances of the asteroid hitting us in 2036. If it is going to hit us, the best chance of deflecting the asteroid would come in 2029. In other words, by time we know for certain, the best chance to save ourselves would have come and gone.

Still, by 2013, we should have enough observations to find that the asteroid has no chance of hitting us in 2036 (or the next year, either). If we haven't eliminated any chance of a collision, we would have to decide whether or not it was worth coming up with a plan to deflect the asteroid in 2029. We'd probably have to launch a deflection mission by around 2021 to rendevous and begin deflecting the asteroid just prior to its 2029 close approach.

The key would be to deflect the object a tiny bit at some key point where the effects would be amplified by some natural force (such as Earth's gravity). It's impossible for humans to significantly deflect large objects with the technology we currently have available without some natural force to amplify the effect.

As far as the chances that humans could save ourselves from an asteroid collision? Global warming due to human activity is a greater probability than an asteroid impact in 2036 and how are we progressing on that problem? The probability of Social Security going bankrupt has a greater probability than an asteroid impact in 2036 and how are we progressing on that problem? In other words, if the asteroid will hit us, we probably won't know until after 2029 when the chance to do something about it has passed.

Answer 2

The latest predictions, as of October 19, 2006, say the impact probability for April 13, 2036 is estimated at 1 in 45,000. An additional impact date in 2037 has been identified, however the impact probability for that encounter is 1 in 12.3 million. So it isn't going to hit.

Answer 3

In the first place, the chances that asteroid will hit us are thousands to one--you should read the stories, not just the headlines.

And yes, we can push it aside. But not with missles. Contrary to the sci-fi movies that won't work. We need--and by that time probably will have--spacecraft that can go out to the asteroid and nudge it into a different course.

But as things stand they won't be American spacecraft. NASA's budget has been so thoroughly gutted in the past decade that it lacks the resources to develop those spacecraft--and Congress doesn't look like they intend to invest the money.

Answer 4

If that is the destiny of humans, then that is what it is. Missles would not be of any use as there max flight attitude is 3700 miles. The Moon is 220,000+ miles, so that won't work.
To avoid it we would have to move the Earth or some object that would alter its course.
If I am alive on the day that it hits , or doesn't hit, I hope to have my Meteor Warning Hat on.
I made the Meteor Warning Hat to crumple and alert me +-.0000009 seconds before impact.
I suppose anything is poosible. Yes, we are doomed. If we can survive 30 years with out being killed by ourselves, then we will be annialated by that.
Merry Christmas!

Answer 5

I don't know if its going to be that long. Our world is under daily threat of bombardment of asteroids and space debris. It could happen tomorrow or it may never happen. If we are ever directly threatened, especially by the year 2036, I believe there will be defenses in place to protect us. We have a lot of weapons at our disposal, some that you and I don't even know exist. By 2036, we may very well be able to intercept an incoming asteroid, take whatever usable metals that are on it and then just discard it, much like we do to our own world today. I wouldn't worry about it.

Answer 6

plenty: 'What we as quickly as theory we had we did no longer And what we now have's no longer probably the comparable So I call upon the author to describe.' --Nick Cave's 'We call Upon the author' 'in the experience that your life is a leaf that the seasons tear off and condemn they're going to bind you with love this is cutting-area and green as a stem' --Leonard Cohen's 'Sisters of Mercy' 'yet I inform you, I inform you, I inform you we ought to deliver away We ought to attempt to discover a clean answer rather of a manner' --Jim Morrison (greater from Zarathustra than beginning of Tragedy) 'some women people anticipate Jesus, and a few women people anticipate Cain So I dangle upon my altar, and that i hoist my awl lower back. and that i take the guy who nicely-knownshows me, lower back to the place all of it began, while Jesus replace into the honeymoon and Cain replace into merely the guy.' --Leonard Cohen 'final Years guy' i will supply up now. i think of merely approximately any Leonard Cohen could make this checklist. Dylan and Kobain have some sturdy ones too.

Answer 7

I honestly think that an idea along the lines of the movie Armegedon, would work.....blowing it up at the right time seems probable, ..... but I've heard from alot of Discovery Channel professionals that would make things worse....IDK well just have to see in about 20 yrs.

Answer 8

I calculated that a small collision with a piece of rock caused the meteor to veer by one one-millionth of a degree,just enough to knock it off course 750,000 miles.
It will miss the earth and the moon so we will all be ok.

Answer 9

It's not going to hit us so don't lose any sleep over it...

Answer 10

Not gonna hit us. No need to fret.