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Its early 2007 for chrissake

2007-03-05 18:52:48 · 20 answers · asked by Anonymous in Politics & Government Elections

20 answers

Traditionally polling for a presidential election begins immeditaely following the midterm election. This year has several contributing factors for the press coverage starting early.

1) We're involved in an unpopular war.

2) We have an unpopular President who is not eligible for reelection (I say that without judgement. His approval rating is between 29% and 37%)

3) The VP has declared he will not be running

4) We are just off of an overwhelming shift in power in the House and a modest shift in the Senate

5) The high profile possibility for "firsts": first African American nominee, first female nominee, first Mexican-American nominee.

6) The lack of an heir apparent on the Republican side

7) Changes to the primary schedule have moved many primaries earlier into February and January.

There's an interesting analysis in The New York Times (see sources). Traditionally, if there is no incumbent or VP running, the Democratic primary field undergoes tremendous upheaval between when we are now and when the primaries are held. Republicans usually identify the frontrunner early on and stay there.

Well this year, the Democrats have had their heir apparent for years. Hillary Clinton was a fundraising and political juggernaut who expected (and was expected) to waltz to the nomination. But Barack Obama and the media frenzy that surrounds him have diverted a lot of attention away from her and, frankly, he is exactly the type of candidate that can give her fits. Senator Edwards, the more charismatic half of the 04 ticket, has a strong message and will stay a factor until primary season. Bill Richardson's resume will keep him a viable candidate even if he's not as charismatic as the others. And if the race gets nasty, well... look... there's Al Gore, resurgent media darling, Oscar winner, likely Nobel winner, and the question would then be asked: what if things had gone differently in 2000? A flawed question, but an inevitable one.

The GOP side is incredibly unexpected. Who would have though after eight years of Karl Rove's polarizing politics the GOP would send up a pro-life, pro-gay rights, anti-gun twice divorced MAYOR OF NEW YORK CITY! Giuliani is the frontrunner in the polls at the moment and his lead is gaining. To go with him are Mitt Romney, recently conservatized, and John McCain who has been campaigning for 10 years now and, in so doing, has alienated people on the left and the right and confused people in the middle. Totally expect a more conservative name to get in the mix here: I've said it before and I'm sticking with it... Governor Mike Huckabee of Arkansas. If Giuliani gets the nom, expect a third party candidate.

I love politics... it's fascinating on both sides of the aisle if you take the haters away.

2007-03-05 19:56:57 · answer #1 · answered by mykll42 2 · 1 0

I think it's pretty weird, but it's all based on today's media. We have media everywhere, whether it's newspapers, TV, and with the Internet, you have real-time news and blogs that focus on a whole range of topics.

The 110th Congress was barely in session a month and we were talking about John Edwards, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney and John McCain. There's no doubt it's way early. In the last few elections, the earliest has been January of the election year, not the year before the election. But it's a different world and a different political landscape. You can also thank the Iraq War for the jump on the 2008 Elections.

2007-03-05 19:03:28 · answer #2 · answered by robert.harding 1 · 0 0

Are the Republicans geniuses or what? As an admitted born and raised difficult-center Communist, Obama believes in school conflict. he's utilising the debt disaster to develop the hostility in the route of the wealthy to develop type conflict. As a real Marxist he has no decision yet to do this, and through this Obama is fullyyt predictable. besides the undeniable fact that as a sitting first time period President Obama does no longer opt for open type conflict, purely the political rhetoric of it and the balloting / political effective factors that he thinks that he receives from it. The Republicans besides the undeniable fact that know that an truthfully stoppage of funding to nutrition stamps, welfare, and Social protection will bring about truthfully insurrections and actual type and race conflict. because before the Civil conflict, August has traditionally continually been by a lengthy way the fiercest and greatest rioting month for u . s .. The Republicans opt for to get the truthfully and inevitable type and race conflict began now at the same time as the effective instructions of u . s . nevertheless stands a sturdy danger of triumphing any such conflict. Even the worst case eventualities want the Republicans. because destiny survivors of any race conflict or type conflict are not likely to undergo in options the moves of Congress, (same to the vast majority now haven't any inkling as to the moves of Congress in the course of the RDF or Regan administrations); yet they are particular to lengthy undergo in options the nutrition riots, killing, and repression of the perfect years of the Democrat Obama Presidency. That memory will keep human beings from ever back balloting for a Democrat like Obama and could kill destiny election opportunities for the Democrats. The GOP planners are impressive.

2016-10-17 10:31:14 · answer #3 · answered by beaudin 4 · 0 0

I think many are excited at the mere prospect of a different President. With all that's going on right now, it's refreshing to know that elections are coming soon, and we're all hopeful that there's going to be an end to all the madness we've been put through under the current administration.

2007-03-05 19:18:35 · answer #4 · answered by Infinity 1 · 1 1

It's weird, but the Democrats are excited because they think one of their guys (or gals) is headed for the White House. That is why they are pushing the issue already through the media. Just stay away from cable news for a year or so and you'll be okay.

2007-03-05 20:50:17 · answer #5 · answered by drbuns 5 · 1 0

Yes, It is too early. How can we decide who is in the final race so early? It seems like it will jump around and possibly even be people that are not running yet. Could it be that we are going to have one of the strangest elections in history?

2007-03-05 19:03:59 · answer #6 · answered by Anonymous · 1 0

No, the year is going by so fast and the next thing you know, the election is here. After the primary, then we shall know who really has a chance.

2007-03-05 18:58:47 · answer #7 · answered by General Vic 2 · 0 0

absolutely. that many more millions of dollars spent muddying the water when it could be making money if correctly packaged-like a reality show with all the candidates living together on Candidate's Island.

2007-03-05 19:04:08 · answer #8 · answered by Anonymous · 1 0

Hell, we've been talking about it since November 3, 2004, or whatever day that panty waste from Massachusetts conceded.

2007-03-06 01:45:01 · answer #9 · answered by TheOnlyBeldin 7 · 0 0

Americans like politics and it is good for the country so that the candidates can very well prepare for their stewarship of the government.

2007-03-05 18:56:20 · answer #10 · answered by FRAGINAL, JTM 7 · 1 0

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