Will anyone ever break Rickey Henderson's record of 1,406 stolen bases?

Answer 1

In today's game, I really don't think anyone has a chance. The league leader usually only has 50-60 stolen bases a year, and there are only a handful of guys who even get that many. Rickey doubled that one year! He stole 100 3 times and over 80 6 times, that just doesn't happen any more. He has almost 500 more than second place Lou Brock! I think that record will stand for a LONG LONG time.

Answer 2

It will definitely happen someday, his record isn't unbreakable. Somebody with enough speed, durability, and youth could come in and challenge that record. Over 20 years, that's about 70 bases each year. Very, very hard- but not impossible. But if you look at the stolen base record, it's not one that people challenge much. A guy with those kind of skills only comes around once every 40 or 50 years. And one bad slide can end it all.

On the other hand, if no one ever broke his record, I would be plenty happy still. He was like a human highlight clip when he played. Even if somebody breaks his stolen base record, nobody is ever going to be Rickey. I mean- 1rst in SB, 1rst in lead off homers, 2nd in walks? Plus hit for average and a solid fielder? No chance.

Answer 3

Probably not. Guys just don't run as much today as they did back when Rickey was in his heyday. And Rickey does love Rickey some of that.

However, if I had to pick 2 players playing today with a shot to do so, it would be Carl Crawford or Jose Reyes. Rickey's even a "special assistant" to the Mets (read: Reyes) in spring training, for what that's worth. Both of those guys are fun to watch if you can, they absolutely FLY around the bases. But, I don't think there will ever be another Rickey.

Answer 4

People mention Pierre, Crawford and Reyes as possibilities, but they don't look at the numbers and notice those are guys who are averaging 50-60 SB per year. At that rate, one would need a career of almost 25 years, performing at a consistent level, to catch up to Rickey. In his prime, Henderson was stealing between 80 and 100 bases per year - that extra 20 to 50 bases every year add up when you do it for a decade.

I don't want to say his record is unbreakable, but I do think that the decreased emphasis on stolen bases in the game these days make it unlikely even if you did have a guy whose speed was on par with Rickey's (and I would consider Reyes, at least, in that category): he simply wouldn't be allowed as many chances to steal.

Answer 5

No. It took Rickey Henderson 25 years to do what he did and I don't see any other player who will be able to match that.

The closest guy is Kenny Lofton who will be 40 with 599. It's safe to say that Rickey's record is untouchable.

Answer 6

not untill they add more games to the schedule. Rickey ran away with this record and he stole bases when he was not suppose to. The 1st person i can think of could be Jose Reyes of the mets, but rickey henderson is and was the greatest leadoff hitter of anytime.

Answer 7

Not a chance. Nobody runs as much anymore. Rickey use to steal 100 bases in a season. Nobody comes close to that anymore. The game has evolved. Few teams play "small ball" and rely on the big hit.

Answer 8

Anything is possible, but to get an actual estimate we have to look at the numbers. Say a player enters the league at the age of 20. He plays 20 years until he's 40. By that time age has caught up with him and he has slowed down significantly. To EQUAL the record he would have to have averaged 70 steals a year over that 20 year period. Possible yes, likely no.

Answer 9

i do no longer see definitely all and sundry breaking that checklist. i think of it is sealed. the closest lively participant is Juan Pierre and he in trouble-free terms has 554 stolen bases and he's already 33 years previous. EDIT-truthfully, Rickey Henderson does have the only stolen base checklist for the MLB. Hugh Nicol had the checklist for the yank association. Which grew to become right into a diverse seperate league from the main Leagues. His checklist does not count quantity in direction of the MLB. EDIT2-i'm incorrect in a manner. via fact the AA grew to become into aside of the main Leagues. yet via fact those days it is basically the NL and AL, they do no longer count quantity the AA or the different leagues from the previous as lots.

Answer 10

I don't think it will happen unless a player is capable of having a career as long as Henderson's as well as being able to steal around 100 bases in a season at least more than once.