2007-02-13 12:41:14 · 9 answers · asked by firlotte@sbcglobal.net 1 in Sports ➔ Basketball
this is not a scientific calculation, but since the US population is 298,201,327, even if we assume that 20% of the population is under 20, that leaves 59,640,265. Then, let's assume that 1 percent of those people are even capable of playing ball, you have 596,403 candidates. Then assume 1 percent of that population plays ball well: 5,964. Then, assuming 30 NBA teams with a roster of 15 players per team: 450 players.
450 roster spots for 60 million Americans... you can see that the chances are slim.
But, if you start in the 6th grade (or earlier), you have a better chance than someone who waits until they're in their teens.
2007-02-13 12:49:47 · answer #1 · answered by icecreamboy121 4 · 0⤊ 0⤋
Mathematically- the us census bureau stated that there were 141,274,964 males in the USA in 2005.
30 NBA teams have rosters of 15 players (12 active, 3 reserve)
450 total players
Divide the total number of males in the US by 450 and the odds are: 1 in 313,994.
**Side note-the NBA is very international now...Dirk, Nash, Z, Yao, Pau, etc.
The odds are probably much worse than what I gave you.
2007-02-13 12:54:34 · answer #2 · answered by BradJC4 2 · 1⤊ 0⤋
you're in luck. Yesterday, I read in a magazine that it was like 1 in 9000 of sports participants I think. So thats around a .01% chance. Don't bet on making the NBA unless you're extremely dominant.
2007-02-13 12:44:15 · answer #3 · answered by Edwin L 2 · 1⤊ 0⤋
1 in 1000
2007-02-13 18:10:46 · answer #4 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 1⤋
i think the chances of making the NBA are if ur really good and u come from a good college and high school.
2007-02-13 12:45:43 · answer #5 · answered by BOSTON CELTICS 3 · 1⤊ 2⤋
you know what i think....i think you have a GREAT CHANCE OF MAKING THE NBA IF YOUR RELATED TO SOMEONE WHO USED TO BE IN THE NBA OR EVEN KNOW!!... look at the Barry`s..Rick - Brent - Jon.....hmm Waltons....just dig and u shall see!! but if u have good talent then u have a good chance...
2007-02-13 17:03:43 · answer #6 · answered by 2ManyQuestions 2 · 0⤊ 0⤋
Almost none
1st and foremost you have to be incredibly gifted. Take an NBA scrub, they were all-american high schoolers and some all-american college players.
2nd you have to work your butt off to get there.
2007-02-13 12:44:50 · answer #7 · answered by Ben F. 3 · 2⤊ 0⤋
None at all unless you're a major star. Which of course you aren't if you have to ask this question
2007-02-13 15:49:50 · answer #8 · answered by #15mwu 5 · 1⤊ 1⤋
if you're a tiny mother****er, you have 0% chance- guranteed
2007-02-13 12:44:46 · answer #9 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 6⤋