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If you take 20 random people, the odds of two of them having the same birthday are 50%.

2007-02-02 16:47:36 · 49 answers · asked by fslcaptain737 4 in Entertainment & Music Polls & Surveys

49 answers

Actually this is based on truth.
It has become known as "The Birthday Paradox" although it is not technically a paradox.

The exact number is 23 people which results in a ~50.73% chance of having duplicate birthdays. (how this is derived can be found at my first source.)

For a more visual explanation see this graph:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Birthday_paradox.png#file

See this in action at this virtual party:
http://projects.felipc.com/birthday-paradox/

2007-02-03 09:52:28 · answer #1 · answered by memeluke 4 · 0 0

False

2007-02-02 16:51:21 · answer #2 · answered by exon111 2 · 0 0

False

2007-02-02 16:49:45 · answer #3 · answered by Anonymous · 1 0

False

2007-02-02 16:50:05 · answer #4 · answered by Anonymous · 0 1

False

2007-02-02 16:49:44 · answer #5 · answered by Tuco 2 · 1 1

False

2007-02-02 16:49:41 · answer #6 · answered by Backwoods Barbie 7 · 1 1

False cuz there are 365 days in a year...and the odds of 2 having the same should be quite lower than 1/2.

2007-02-02 16:49:38 · answer #7 · answered by kowalley 5 · 2 1

I believe if you take 22 people, the odds are even higher (by a lot). It's 95% or something. This means the birthday itself, though, not always the year included. It's still strange, but true.

2007-02-02 16:50:04 · answer #8 · answered by ♥♫!♫♥ 3 · 0 0

I'd have to go with False. There are 365 days in a year. The chances are 1 in about 150 chances of that happening.

2007-02-02 16:51:57 · answer #9 · answered by crazyqa215 1 · 0 0

By my calculations (done in a Microsoft Excel Spreadsheet)...

for 20 people the odds are about 58.86% that no two of them have the same birthday.

for 22 people the odds are about 52.43%, and
for 23 people the odds are about 49.27%

(I've disregarded the possibility of a Feb 29th birthday just to make the calculations simpler)

2007-02-02 16:58:22 · answer #10 · answered by Andrew 6 · 1 0

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