The official thermometers at the U.S. National Climate Data Center show a slight global cooling trend over the last seven years, from 1998 to 2005.
Actually, global warming is likely to continue—but the interruption of the recent strong warming trend sharply undercuts the argument that our global warming is an urgent, man-made emergency. The seven-year decline makes our warming look much more like the moderate, erratic warming to be expected when the planet naturally shifts from a Little Ice Age (1300–1850 AD) to a centuries-long warm phase like the Medieval Warming (950–1300 AD) or the Roman Warming (200 BC– 600 AD).
The stutter in the temperature rise should rein in some of the more apoplectic cries of panic over man-made greenhouse emissions. The strong 28-year upward trend of 1970–1998 has apparently ended.
Fred Singer, a well-known skeptic on man-made warming, points out that the latest cooling trend is dictated primarily by a very warm El Nino year in 1998. “When you start your graph with 1998,” he says, “you will necessarily get a cooling trend.”
Bob Carter, a paleoclimatologist from Australia, notes that the earth also had strong global warming between 1918 and 1940. Then there was a long cooling period from 1940 to 1965. He points out that the current warming started 50 years before cars and industries began spewing consequential amounts of CO2. Then the planet cooled for 35 years just after the CO2 levels really began to surge. In fact, says Carter, there doesn’t seem to be much correlation between temperatures and man-made CO2.
For context, Carter offers a quick review of earth’s last 6 million years. The planet began that period with 3 million years in which the climate was several degrees warmer than today. Then came 3 million years in which the planet was basically cooling, accompanied by an increase in the magnitude and regularity of the earth’s 1500-year Dansgaard-Oeschger climate cycles.
Speaking of the 1500-year climate cycles, grab an Internet peek at the earth’s official temperatures since 1850. They describe a long, gentle S-curve, with the below-mean temperatures of the Little Ice Age gradually giving way to the above-the-mean temperatures we should expect during a Modern Warming.
Carter points out that since the early 1990s, the First World’s media have featured “an increasing stream of alarmist letters and articles on hypothetical, human-caused climate change. Each such alarmist article is larded with words such as ‘if’, ‘might,’ ‘could,’ ‘probably,’ ‘perhaps,’ ‘expected,’ ‘projected’ or ‘modeled’—and many . . . are akin to nonsense.”
Carter also warns that global cooling—not likely for some centuries yet—is likely to be far harsher for humans than the Modern Warming. He says, “our modern societies have developed during the last 10,000 years of benignly warm, interglacial climate. But for more than 90 percent of the last 2 million years, the climate has been colder, and generally much colder, than today. The reality of the climate record is that a sudden natural cooling is more to be feared, and will do infinitely more social and economic damage, than the late 20th century phase of gentle warming.”
Since the earth is always warming or cooling, let’s applaud the Modern Warming, and hope that the next ice age is a long time coming.
2007-01-31 11:30:58
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answer #1
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answered by Anonymous
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Actually, if you do a little research you would find that we are still coming out of the last ice age and that we are just speeding up the process by changing the global temperature by a few decimal points. Check out the link for an article for more information on Global warming and the facts to myths ratio.
2007-01-31 08:20:32
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answer #2
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answered by buggaboo 2
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Here's a little science project you can do at your own computer.
1. Find the amount of oil drilled every year (should be easy to do, since it involves money someone is bound to be keeping track of it.)
2. Now find out how much of that oil is used for energy in cars, power plants, and stuff like that.
3. Do a little chemistry and figure out just how much carbon dioxide is emitted into the atmosphere every year as a result of humans burning carbon.
You see, it is not hard to prove that humans are changing the atmosphere. The only questions that remain are how much it will affect our future because of the sheer number of feedbacks that result from global warming. (For example, when you increase the temperature by emitting carbon dioxide, the rate of evaporation increases. Water vapor, being a potent greenhouse gas, then compounds the effect of the carbon dioxide you emitted.)
2007-01-31 08:14:33
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answer #3
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answered by wdmc 4
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Most scientists think the first humans evolved about 200 million years ago, and the last ice age also started about 200 million years ago (and ended about 11,500 years ago), So humans did live during an ice age. It has not been demonstrated that global warming is entirely man made, though most liberals tend to believe that. Still, it can't hurt for humans to minimize the generation of so-called "greenhouse gases".
2007-01-31 08:43:36
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answer #4
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answered by Anonymous
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Who said it is completely man made? We just happen to be dumping huge amounts of greenhouse gases during a natural warming cycle exacerbating the situation.
Either way, I fail to see the problem with trying to have cleaner air regardless of the climate. There is the whole economic question, but looking at how well American auto makers are doing financially (Didn't Ford just post record losses, again? And GM did as well not too long ago.) compared to their lower emission counterparts, I'd say the free market agrees with me. If nothing else, perhaps we should pass regulations because obviously those companies are just too stupid these days to manage themselves and their ineptitude is hurting the economy.
2007-01-31 08:11:24
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answer #5
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answered by zzycatch 3
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Ice Age is not caused by Global Warming if you know what it actually is. Ice Ages occur in a cycle and happen every 50,000 years. So the next ice age will occur in the year 4,256 if the world doesnt end.
2007-01-31 08:10:49
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answer #6
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answered by Anonymous
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nicely, that is not any longer lots that i do no longer think in guy-made worldwide warming, that is basically that i do no longer think it...in case you get what I mean. My concern is that there is little point out of the organic fluctuation of the climate in the time of history. interior the Medieval era there have been sessions of the two worldwide warming and worldwide cooling. in addition to, a center-college student in a technology classification is familiar with of that as a manner to habit an test and take a glance at a theory, repeated assessments might desire to be carried out. The greater archives the greater effectual. provided that we in basic terms have perhaps 150 years of temperature archives, how will we evaluate contemporary changes to that of earlier organic changes? via the way, mankind advantages greater from worldwide warming than worldwide cooling.
2016-11-01 23:49:36
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answer #7
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answered by ? 4
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Same goes for species going extinct. Liberals are still looking for a way to blame humans for the dinosaurs dying out.
2007-01-31 08:09:06
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answer #8
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answered by Anonymous
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Yeah, but it was really gradual so everything could adapt. There is no evidence for this assertion, but it sounds oh so logical.
2007-01-31 08:04:15
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answer #9
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answered by Bayou Brigadier 3
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