Bears
2007-01-28 06:35:58
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answer #1
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answered by parkesmatt 5
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Statistics:
There is a system that has been in use for the past 16 years that has correctly predicted the Super Bowl winner 14 times. It involves 12 predictors that each successfully predict the Super Bowl winner roughly 55 to 70 percent of the time, but taken together they work even better. Last year, for the first time in those 16 years, we had to go to the tie-breaker when the categories were tied 6-6 between the Steelers and Seahawks ( Can you predict the Super Bowl winner?).
The twelve categories are broken into five defensive statistics, four offensive and three overall. The winning percentage for each of the categories is based on how often that category favored the eventual Super Bowl winner. The chart below shows all of the percentages.
Now let's look at Super Bowl XLI:
Category Winning Percentage Team with Advantage
Rushing Yards / Attempt .550 Colts
Rushing Yards .550 Bears
Opponent Net Passing Yards .550 Colts
Points Scored .588 Tie
Opponent Rushing Yards / Attempt .600 Bears
Fewer Net Passing Yards .600 Bears
Turnover Differential .625 Bears
Opponent Rushing Yards .625 Bears
Point Differential .663 Bears
Regular Season Record .688 Bears
Opponent Total Yards / Game .700 Bears
Points Allowed .713 Bears
The Bears take the last eight categories, which are the best predictors, all at 60% or better. Of those eight, five are defensive, which confirms the adage: Defense wins championships. Overall, the Bears take nine categories and the Colts only two, with one tie. There have been 18 occasions where the system favored one of the teams with nine or more categories. That team has won 15 times.
The system leans significantly towards the Bears winning their first Super Bowl in 21 years.
2007-01-28 14:51:09
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answer #2
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answered by diggittey 3
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Colts
2007-01-28 15:31:41
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answer #3
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answered by Anonymous
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Colts
2007-01-28 15:29:52
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answer #4
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answered by CassieB 2
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Colts.
2007-01-28 18:16:27
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answer #5
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answered by Mike 4
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I am going for the Colts. I ever heard that the Colts are more likely to win because of statisics. I hope that they do I love them!
2007-01-28 14:40:09
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answer #6
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answered by actresst22 5
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colts
2007-01-28 14:42:40
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answer #7
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answered by Anonymous
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Da Bears all the way
2007-01-28 14:41:14
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answer #8
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answered by jeffrey m 2
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COLTS. WHY? cause it's Peyton Manning's destiny and da BEARS have Rex Grossman at QB! 'nuff said!!!!!
2007-01-28 14:39:24
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answer #9
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answered by HarveyB 7
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Bears all the way
good defense is always better than a good offense
2007-01-28 14:38:53
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answer #10
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answered by bob 2
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