A-Rod and Pujols both logistically have a shot.
A-Rod has been injury free for much of his career and if that keeps up, he's well on his way. If he can average around 30 or more homers for another 10-12 years it shouldn't be a problem for him to surge past Mays, Ruth, Aaron and Bonds.
Pujols has shown he's a little more susceptible to injury and that could hurt him, but I think the thing that will hurt him the most is the rather light lineup around him. Unlike with A-Rod who is playing a wicked-good lineup...a pitcher could walk Pujols every time he comes to bat if they wanted. Scott Rolen is the only legit power threat in that lineup behind Pujols anymore. Edmonds is a shell of what he was five years ago and Rolen himself is clearly not the power-source he once was.
Walks have robbed Bonds of who knows how many hits and home runs in the past five seasons because, much like Pujols, he really hasn't had any protection in the lineup. I'd expect the same thing to happen to Pujols.
As far as Ryan Howard goes, who knows. He could go off like a fire-cracker every year or this could have been his one big surge before he drops back down to a 30-homer a year kind of guy. He also suffers from no power protection in the lineup and he is awfully young so a lot could still happen, injury-wise. I'd say it's still too early to tell with Howard.
Good question.
2007-01-20 06:58:47
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answer #1
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answered by tkatt00 4
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A rodreguiez. Isnt he 30? Do YOU honestly see him breaking down now? He needs 30 HR in a season for 10 more seasons , (764 HR) But hell have a 40 hr season..........2. Albert will get 500 to 600, making the top 7 or 6. Renember hes olny 29! Ryan Howard Is 28, but he had a breakout season one year. To believe he will even get 300 I need to see one or two 30 hr seasons. Renember before this he was olny a modest young first baseman, just like Justin Monearu who won the MVP for the AL whos never had a season like this. Their has been some cases were people had one breakout season and thats it. A-Rod Will win the HR record, than Pujols will be close behind and the record will stand for as much for 60 years. (As long as people dont take steriods!)
2007-01-20 07:58:39
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answer #2
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answered by Anonymous
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I think Pujols will break the record. Hes only 26 and playing 1b doesn't take a toll on a baseball player like other positions. Also he is only 26 and he is in the prime of his career. Seeing that he doesn't miss many games and how consistent he has been in the past few years makes me believe he has 10-12 years left in his career and that should be plenty of time to break whatever record Bonds sets.
I would agree with A-Rod maybe 2 years ago. I think his career is on the decline and he is not going to be as dominant in the past.
Ryan Howard is definitely a possibility, but hes too young right now so its hard to tell.
2007-01-20 07:07:23
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answer #3
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answered by Tom Antar 3
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The only record that Bonds deserves is the one that will get him into the Hall of Infamous. He may pass the mark, but he will never have the record. And if he does have the record, mark an asterisk next to it, because yes, many disillusioned people out there do believe that he didn't use performance enhancing drugs but for the rest of us, we know better.
And as for A-Rod, if that man could just get his head screwed on straight and the NY fans let him again enjoy playing the game of baseball, anything is possible. He's got more natural God given talent than any player out there today.
2007-01-20 07:24:05
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answer #4
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answered by ? 6
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A-Rod has been injury free for most of his career But in 10 years his body will start to break down and he'll finish with 700 -720 home runs! And Bonds will still have the home run record!!!
2007-01-20 19:02:25
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answer #5
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answered by Anonymous
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Well once Bonds breaks the record and then evidence about him taking steroids pops up it won't matter because it'll be removed from the record books.
I wouldn't be surprised to see A-Rod, Pujols, and maybe even Miguel Cabrera and/or Adam Dunn chase the record at some point.
2007-01-20 07:24:20
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answer #6
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answered by Rhymin' Greiman 3
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I agree w/ others that Arod has the best chance, having 464 at age 30. I am gonna throw Andruw Jones out there too. He will be 30 next year and has 344, he couldbe entering his prime though, and could go over 700.
2007-01-20 18:50:51
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answer #7
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answered by Eho 5
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Any one of those guys has the ability and the oppurtunity, but it could be some unknown guy in the future. Maybe there is an infant out there who is born for it. Records, like rules, were meant to be broken.
2007-01-20 07:34:37
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answer #8
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answered by dymond 2
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Hank Aaron has the record, and I can't think of anyone who could take it from him. The steroid scandal will probably drive Bonds out of baseball before he can break the record. Even if it doesn't, he'll always have an asterisk after his name in the minds of every baseball fan. Hammerin' Hank did it without steroids, and while smoking cigarettes to boot! To me, he'll always be the home run king.
2007-01-20 06:59:59
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answer #9
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answered by texasjewboy12 6
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If A-Rod keeps hitting 30-40 some homeruns every season like he always does, he will break it.
2007-01-20 09:11:01
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answer #10
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answered by ? 5
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