In share market why not able to predict with reasonable accuracy the movement of index or price of a scrip?

Question

All open share markets is this planet behave always unpredictable. In India who controls the share market (By and large) is it FIIs, MFs, Retailers ?

Answer 1

It depends.
In the long (decennies!) run a stock's behaviour is always determined by its profits. If the profits go, than so will the stock price, all other things being equal.

On shorter periods, stocks have large fluctuations around the long term profit determined trend. These movements have such large amplitudes that they can completely mask the trend.

To see what I mean, here is a very long term chart of the Dow Jones. The trend is up, on a par with the American economy, but it was a rough ride at times.

http://investmenttools.com/equities/djia__dow_jones_industrial_average.htm

Answer 2

Hi,
analyst do predict the market the technical way and their analysis is more or less accurate.
Market is governed by the several facts and rumours, Also the Big Investors,Mf's,FII's active trades also gives direction to the Market.
But, there is no need to Panic anytime because the Fundamentally strong stocks perform very well always.

Answer 3

Hi,

Study the books and you'll see that market is quite predictable:

Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager;
Technical Analysis by Jack D. Schwager;

Comprehensive Course on The Wave Principle by A.J. Frost and Robert Prechter;

Candlestick Charting Explained- Timeless Techniques for Trading Stocks and Futures by Gregory L. Morris;

Trading Chaos – Applying Expert Techniques to Maximize Your Profit by Bill M. Williams;
New Trading Dimensions by Bill M. Williams
Trading Chaos II by Bill Williams – Maximize Profits with Proven Technical Techniques by Justin Gregory-Williams and Bill M. Williams

Good luck!

Answer 4

All securities markets are controlled by free markets, and they will always be unpredictable.

The reason for this is because financial statements are complex and investors all have different methods for analyzing them.

Markets can also be brutal for companies that fall out of favor with the media, and this can happen any time.

Answer 5

Market is always wrong. If you want to invest in stock market with prediction, it will be your deadly sin to investment. If you really want to be quite predictable, be the one who sell stocks. Thus you can be the one who controls a small part of the stock market.

Answer 6

4 some all is unpredcted

4 others all is predesitne

with chart study u can predict mkt

visit my blog 4 detail

Answer 7

lots of variables