Will the warm weather, so far this winter, effect the strength of the hurricanes to come in 2007?

Question

I live on the South East coast of the USA. Since the hurricanes tend to head this direction from Africa I figured the warm weather would have a more direct effect. Does that make sense?

Answer 1

No. Hurricane development and strength depends on a whole list of variables such as sea surface temperatures and upper level wind shear conditions to name a couple. Most of the tropical waves that come off the coast of Africa never even develop into a tropical depression because the all the ingredients needed for a hurricane to develop never fall in place. Also remember that your location my be warmer than normal this winter while someone else's location may be colder than normal.

Answer 2

No, because it's cooling off now. And actually we had a really warm summer (I live in NC) and a super warm fall. So using your logic we should have had a busy year this year as the hurricane season doesn't end until December 1st. But we didn't. So applying your logic, no I wouldn't think this year would be busier than normal. If we were to have a busy year it would be based on several other factors, as an earlier answerer has stated.

Answer 3

hurricanes are made from warm water in the ocean and the high and low pressure of the air mass.
so there will be more powerful hurricanes 2 come.

Answer 4

I wouldn't be surprised. To the best of my knowledge every time we have a mild winter we have an active hurricane season.

Answer 5

I sooo hope not...but good news for all...less hurricanes predicted for 07.

Answer 6

yes worm weather do have hurricanes

Answer 7

hope not, but it is said that 2007 will be the aridest year ever.