is the Californian earth quake more or less likely to happen?

Question

on an emmence scale ,sooner than later2 to5 years,6to10,25,50,or just may never happen or in a nut shell may the fault be more kikely to hit elsewhere first?

Answer 1

Within the next 30 years the probability is 60% that an EQ measuring >=6.7 will occur in Southern California.

Within the next 30 years the probability is 62% that an EQ measuring >=6.7 will occur in the San Francisco Bay Area

Answer 2

Geologic studies show that over the past 1,400 to 1,500 years large earthquakes have occurred at about 150-year intervals on the southern San Andreas fault. As the last large earthquake on the southern San Andreas occurred in 1857, that section of the fault is considered a likely location for an earthquake within the next few decades.

The San Francisco Bay area has a slightly lower potential for a great earthquake, as less than 100 years have passed since the great 1906 earthquake; however, moderate-sized, potentially damaging earthquakes could occur in this area at any time.

Answer 3

If I were you I would think about the old saying ..My mother worked on the railroad for many years and always said look for a train on any track at anytime.Its rumored that Nevada will have new ocean front property in the near future .. meaning california will be no more but at the bottom of the ocean.If you study the fault lines and look at the patterns for quakes it would be pretty obvious that there will be a major one in your future,just be prepared for it and then just do the best you can..

Answer 4

With every passing day it gets more and more likely.

Answer 5

There are no definite answers. If there were then we'd get warnings.