That sounds stupid, not scientific. If they said, "2007 may be the coolest year on record", it has just as much scientific fact behind it, which is none.
How can they measure the tempurature of year anway, do they put a thermometer into a 2007 calendar?
2007-01-04 04:37:56 · 12 answers · asked by Darth Vader 6 in Science & Mathematics ➔ Weather
Oh, they might be right, then again they might be wrong. Flip a coin.
2007-01-04 07:14:00 · answer #1 · answered by Feeling Mutual 7 · 3⤊ 0⤋
Answerman,
The mathematics involved to determine these averages and means is actually quite complex, using various statistical calculations and some calculus.
In 1997-98, the earth experienced an incredible el nino. During an el nino, global temperatures warm on average. While the el nino is not as severe as 97-98, the assumption is the addition of any change of our climate with el nino will set records.
I'm going to take a wait and see attitude, last year's tropical season was supposed to be more active than 2005, but that fizzled out.
2007-01-04 13:43:42 · answer #2 · answered by Michael L 2 · 4⤊ 0⤋
i kind of agree, but at the same time, i live in ohio, and normally we have snow, etc. so far the temp has been in the 50's. it seems like a pretty warm start to a year. They predict things the same way they can predict the weather for the week.
2007-01-04 12:46:38 · answer #3 · answered by ekenny513 5 · 3⤊ 0⤋
They look out the window and say "hey it's 10 celcious in January in southern Ontario, I think we're in for a warm year"
2007-01-04 12:46:33 · answer #4 · answered by James Dean 5 · 3⤊ 0⤋
If they can't predict accurately what the weather will be like a week in advance, then why would you believe that they can predict a year ahead?
2007-01-04 12:42:59 · answer #5 · answered by rockraider 2 · 2⤊ 0⤋
They consulted with the Farmer's Almanac.
2007-01-04 12:47:03 · answer #6 · answered by Lorenzo Steed 7 · 2⤊ 0⤋
they say that based on previous el nino activity. it is going to be an el nino year but not as bad as in 97-98
2007-01-04 12:46:05 · answer #7 · answered by corEy marsh 3 · 1⤊ 1⤋
sure, it might sound stupid to you on your end, but switch places for a second
imagine you are getting paid $60,000 or more a year to guess stuff
does it sound stupid now?
2007-01-04 12:44:32 · answer #8 · answered by Jim 7 · 2⤊ 1⤋
They take a model with a bunch of guesses, then they extrapolate information with more guesses.
They they get together to talk about their "data" and take a guess about what will happen
2007-01-04 12:41:59 · answer #9 · answered by shadouse 6 · 2⤊ 2⤋
to me answerman may have a point. i believe it may be true because of global warming.
2007-01-04 12:47:50 · answer #10 · answered by honeystrawdewberry 2 · 2⤊ 0⤋