How do you analize the point spread-over/under on football?

Question

Give me your input on what you do that succesfully gives you winning results on Vegas lines? How do you prepare on the teams? Do you take days to analize? What is better for consistency, college or pro? Underdog or the favorite? Over or under on what type of teams. If you have stories about how you came up on a bet, please share it!

Answer 1

Go with your gut feeling.

Answer 2

As far as points spreads go, its pretty easy. The (-) in front of the number means that the team is favored by that amount of points. Thus, if it looks like -6, that means that team is already losing 6 - 0. If there is a plus (+) in front of the number, the team is the underdog by said amount points. Thus your team is starting the game winning say 6 - 0. You can think of it this way, or just remember that at the end of the game, whichever way you chose, the favorite needs to win by more than that number of points or the underdog needs to lose by less than that amount. Over/under is very easy. The amount of points that are given, say 45, are the total amount of points scored by the two teams combined. Thus a 28-21 final score means you would have won the overs (if that was your bet). Now as far as teams go this year, obviously early in the season it is difficult to say. There are few gimme teams such as the Indianapolis Colts, and Cincinnati Bengals for going over in games. Chicago Bears and Cleveland Browns are going to be good unders bets this year. Points spreads are exceedingly difficult in the beginning of the season because no one really knows what they have as of yet. If I were you, I'd try to stay away from point spreads the first week or two till you get a chance to see some teams in action and stick with over/unders there usually a little (not much) easier to pick.