What path will Central Asian states take? Market liberalization, or eastern alignment?

Question

Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan are the Central Asian states. They are extremely important for several reasons; their state weakness and ethnoreligious make-up make them likely sites for terrorist training camps, they are important for the extraction of oil in some cases domestically (like Kazakhstan) and in others for the construction of pipelines across the country (like Uzbekistan, a country essential for the Baku-Tiblisi-Ceylan pipeline, key to extraction of caspian oil). China and russia are interested in a strategic partnership to reduce the chance of muslim sepratism bein ignited or supported (china worries about uighur sepratists while Russia frets about its tartars). So which way are they gonna go? answers that split the countries east/ west are acceptable, but anyone who wants to get the best answer should probably discuss the impact of us rights talk on these states and the impact of regional organizations in creating long lasting allianc

Answer 1

Long question, but my answer will be short.

They will remain West-leaning dictatorships and they will continue to look west because the power of China terrifies most of them (especially Kazakhstan).

As long as the oil and gas keeps flowing, the current dynasties that are in power will be allowed to get richer and richer, with the people picking up the crumbs.

Answer 2

No, that's no longer incorrect. I paintings interior the seventh circle of hell. The a/c is determined at seventy 4 tiers and at the same time as that's ninety 8 tiers outdoors with 89% humidity, that's hotter than hell interior the place of work. I sweat like a hog on a commonly used foundation. God forbid I positioned on something that's no longer 100% cotton because i'd be depressing all day. i ought to quite freeze my ya-ya's off and performance my nips poking properly out of my blouse any day of the week. Are you men hiring?!

Answer 3

They'll probably just do whatever, at a given moment, grants them greater security, power or wealth. In other words, they'll probably do both, using whatever market freedoms their society will permit to increase wealth, while also tying themselves to the stronger and kindred peoples around themselves militarily to protect themselves from non-economic peril.

Answer 4

my guess is, that soon puttin will make a move and force most of those countries back into the russian fold.then it will be back to the old riveleries between russia and china, or maybe they join forces and strangle the US economicly.