Is this viral expert right about the bird flu??

Question

http://www.thesun.co.uk/article/0,,2-2006530301,00.html

Answer 1

his estimate is low.
very low.
this plague , when it mutates into human to human contact,
will cause world wide chaos,
and will kill 200 milion people.

i lost my grandmother, 2 uncles, and my father was almost
killed from the 1918 - 1919 Flu Pandemic.
that pandemic killed 50 million people worldwide.
recent research indicates that flu was an avain strain.
the world has almost 3 times the population now,
and with the fast transit of people and goods that exists today
it will spread rapidly when it mutates.

Answer 2

I'm no viral expert, but i sure hope not.