2006-10-31 02:02:39 · 6 answers · asked by salvadorian1 1 in Science & Mathematics ➔ Weather
You know, it took me a very long time poking around the NOAA website to even find the August 2006 update for the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook. I'm assuming you're interested in the Atlantic season, even though you didn't specify, and I happen to be in the middle of the Pacific Ocean myself.
What the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook said was, there was a 75% chance of an Above-normal season. Now their Outlook, "does not predict numbers of tropical storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes directly." There are rather complicated definitions of an Above-normal system involving Accumulated Cyclone Energy, which is a wind energy index, but let's skip all that for now, since neither you nor I seem to have advanced degrees in meteorology.
According to NOAA, an average hurricane system, "features approximately 11 named storms (maximum sustained surface winds between 39-73 mph), six hurricanes (maximum sustained surface winds of at least 74 mph) and two major hurricanes (maximum sustained surface winds exceeding 110 mph, categories 3-5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale)."
The actual 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season isn't technically over yet, but these seasons do tend to peak between August and October. The 2006 season so far (this isn't easy to find, either):
Tropical Storm Alberto made landfall in Florida, weakened to a depression, then traveled to Ireland.
Tropical Cyclone Beryl lost its tropical characteristics over western Nova Scotia
Tropical Storm Chris dissipated while approaching Cuba.
Tropical Storm Debby weakened to a depression in the Atlantic, then turned northward and dissipated ahead of an approaching frontal system.
Hurricane Ernesto made landfall as a tropical storm in North Carolina.
Hurricane Florence brought hurricane-force winds and minor damage to both Bermuda and Newfoundland, Canada.
Major Hurricane Gordon traveled north and weakened to an extratropical storm, bringing heavy rains to the British Isles, where I experienced them on vacation.
Major Hurricane Helene turned north and weakened to an extratropical low, no doubt contributing to the cloudiness I experienced in the Outer Hebrides.
Hurricane Isaac weakened to a tropical storm, then became extratropical after passing near southeastern Newfoundland.
So, we've got 9 named storms (two below exact average), 5 hurricanes (one below exact average), and two major hurricanes (exactly average). Two of the tropical storms made landfall in the US. Not precisely what NOAA predicted? Well, yes, but NOAA knows better than to predict anything that precisely.
And there have been 16 named storms in the Pacific.
2006-10-31 03:31:15 · answer #1 · answered by Beckee 7 · 0⤊ 0⤋
Hurricanes are notoriously difficult to predict and even when they are in full flow it is still notoriously difficult to predict where they will go and how strong they will be.
Even quite small changes in sea temperature can have dramatic effects on their strength and they can change direction unpredictably.
2006-10-31 05:28:48 · answer #2 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 0⤋
I don't know what you are talking about. We've had five Hurricanes (Ernesto,
Florence, Gordon, Helene, Issac) in the Atlantic and 9 over the
Eastern Pacific.
2006-10-31 02:57:34 · answer #3 · answered by jcesar 3 · 0⤊ 0⤋
We barely had any rain.. No hurricanes like they predicted.. Hope we don't have it bad next year...
2006-10-31 02:05:12 · answer #4 · answered by Tracy 4 · 0⤊ 0⤋
The TM people claim the "Maharishi Effect" took care of it.
2006-10-31 02:09:00 · answer #5 · answered by Alex S 4 · 0⤊ 0⤋
Yeah, good question! I was hauling FEMA trailers, and making great money! Now I'm broke!
2006-10-31 02:05:39 · answer #6 · answered by rebecca_sld 4 · 0⤊ 0⤋