Have you seen the newest threat made by N.Korea? They claim to want war with us and others ( Japan etc. )?

Question

How do you think this will play out? Feel free to elaborate, but folks this is deadly serious, so please really think out your responses.

Answer 1

Some respondents on Y.A seem to think that the U.S. is the only country that has Nukes. This is not true, and those respondents need to get educated on the stats.
Should N.K. have nukes? Probably not. That government is very unstable, and the leader is even more unstable. Just as with the leader of Iran. You just can't go around making threats. I know some people will say" Well the U.S. is always making threats." That is not true either. We responded to 9/11 by going into Afganistan looking for UBL. We went into Iraq, because the top intelligence agencies on the planet, all seem to think that they had WMD's. Our congress approved the action.
If N.K. claims that they want war with the U.S., Japan, South Korea etc. Then let them make the first move. They will be met with overwhelming force from several different fronts. DOn't count on the U.N to play a major role. They generally do not do much good in their efforts. I think if N.K. does provoke engagement, you just might see a concerted effort between the U.S., South Korea, Japan, Thiland and this might be a stretch....but China might also lend a hand. China has the greatest challenges in this issue.

Answer 2

I think .... it's all talk for now.

North Korea's nuclear tests, the trigger sparking this whole mess, is generally accepted in the US/UK and other countries as been somewhat a failure as the bomb detonated by NK was just above the 1 Kiloton level. Thus I feel that the major powers see that NK will not be ready yet to act on it's threats.
I also feel that NK knows that it now has too many enemies after it's tests were made and that any miltary movements from them will be stopped by a global force. Because of this it will feel threatened and use this "threat" (sanctions as well) from UK/UN/US/other to justify the further creation of more powerful bombs.

Another thing will be China's stance. The world doesn't fully know what the Chinese are telling NK since their relationship has always been a quiet one. If China supports NK it might also suffer sanctions and a significant loss in income from other countries.
If China agrees with the "anti-NK forces" it will make the ideology of communism in China look a joke to the people of China who've grown up on this ideology. See it from the people's point: they've grown up with symbols of communism and when their communist neighbours need help, China joins the UN/US in it's views of NK.

In the end I think China will play the neutral role: saying no to nukes but no to sanctions as well.

I'm pretty sure this will be how things will evolve.

Answer 3

Whatever gives Beez the impression that the U.S. is the only nuclear power? It's a modest but elite club, which includes Israel as an "unofficial" member. And now, of course, N. Korea.

But please, Bottles, be careful how you use language. I doubt N.K. wants war; they are far from prepared, they would have mighty adversaries allied against them, and they developed their bomb mainly to garner a little respect from the international community, oh and by the way, to protect themselves from the U.S. of A. What the ambassador said was that they would treat any sanctions as a "declaration of war" - on our part, not theirs. There's a subtle difference. They're just saber-rattling, strutting and posturing because now that they have proven they have a nuclear weapon, they feel safe and are doing a little strutting.

I don't mean to marginalize Kim Jung Il. But even a certified madman would hesitate before lobbing one at Japan or Alaska, because he knows the might of China, Russia and America would bomb him back to the Stone Age. I'm no political analyst, but that's how I see it.

Answer 4

Yes, you are absolutely, 100% correct...it IS deadly serious.
And what puzzles me is why our president, during his 2002 speech about the so-called "axis of evil", chose to invade Iraq over North Korea.
Clearly (then and now), Iraq and Iran posed LESS of a threat than NK.

To make matters worse, President Bush pretty much gave most of our closest allies and the United Nations the finger when he invaded Iraq.
Isn't it a bit ironic that he is now asking for UN help to deal with NK?

But, that is water under the bridge and now our troops are stretched to the limit.
We've got no expendable troop force to effectively deal with NK and that little, ugly gnome.
And any confrontation with NK will involve troops...lots of troops.
It will not be a convenient little skirmish like the Gulf War.

As to how this will play out (in terms of Americas' involvement), I suspect we'll wait this one out...Bush & Company will pass the buck to the next administration to deal with.
After all, what else can Bush do?
He's painted himself into a corner, so to speak.

The most effective reaction is to isolate NK, with full support from China, Russia and other UN member nations.
Trade embargoes and naval blockades will help to cut off supplies to NK.

Regretfully, Kim Jong Il will starve his countrymen before he gives up his weapons of mass destruction (the same kind of WMD we were supposed to have found in Iraq).

And despite a news black-out in NK, be prepared to see news media reports of mass starvation.
It is always fascinating to see how dictatorships can be clever and effective media manipulators.

Answer 5

This is nothing more than posturing and bluster from an over egotistical martinet. Kim Ill knows that the only outcome for him is death and he still likes to watch his porn tapes way too much. Besides that, the last thing China wants to see is American troops on the other side of the Yalu so I'm pretty sure they'll pull in the reins on NK

Answer 6

What would happen if everyone just ignored this little country that has nothing anybody wants or needs. Unless they have a pipeline full of money from some other country or countries, North Korea is just wanting world attention. As long as only the U.S. is allowed nuclear weapons, we will have this sort of thing popping up from time to time.