Your sister is talking about the CDC’s recommendations for pandemic flu - which is not a problem yet but is very likely to become a problem this winter.
Right now there is avian flu in a lot of birds in Southeast Asia. China, Russia, Mongolia, Europe, Egypt, and Africa, and there have been human cases in 2006 in Azerbaijan, Cambodia, China, Djibouti, Egypt, Indonesia, Iraq, Thailand, Turkey, and Vietnam. (109 cases this year and 73 deaths – not good odds.)
A pandemic hasn’t started yet. Most of the people who have been unlucky enough to be infected have caught it from birds that were ill or dead.
In the last year, there have been more and more people who are being infected by family members. They are calling this “limited human-to-human transmission.”
But what we are afraid of is “sustained human-to-transmission.” This would be infection that could be easily passed from person – just like the flu we have every year.
When this sustained human-to-human transmission begins (experts say when, not if) we can expect it to spread very rapidly. All it will take is for someone who has picked it up on a trip to Southeast Asia but is not yet showing symptoms to get on a plane headed for Los Angles, Sydney, or Rome. It will spread quickly from that one person to others on the plane, and into each city that those people are traveling to.
We don’t have any vaccine – we can’t make vaccine until the virus finishes mutating. It will take 6-9 months to develop vaccine after this thing takes off and it will take a very long time to make enough for a large amount of people.
Right now in the U.S. we only have enough antiviral meds for approx 2% of our population. Some other countries have slightly higher stores of Tamiflu. There is some doubt as to whether or not Tamiflu will continue to be effective in the case of pandemic flu, and it needs to be taken within 48 hours of the beginning of symptoms.
Experts are saying that 25% to 50% of people could get H5N1 flu – no one will have any immunity to it, and right now the fatality rate is over 50%. We hope that will come down, but there is no way to know if it will.
People should be storing water and nonperishable food to use during the time that local and state governments will be using quarantine to try to slow the spread of the disease. Quarantine won’t stop the spread of the disease, but it might slow it somewhat to buy time until vaccine can be produced.
People can’t wait to buy nonperishable food until the last minute because the stores will run out – there aren’t cases and cases of food in the stock room to restock the shelves.
So nonperishable food, baby food and formula, over the counter medicine, cleaning products, toilet paper, pet food, etc. If you can buy bottled water, you won’t need to use Clorox to disinfect it. You can also store water in soda bottles, but you must know how to do it correctly so germs don’t grown in it.
This is a site that has good information about preparing for a pandemic. They aren’t selling anything – just giving good information.
http://fluwikie.com/index.php?n=Consequences.Consequences
I’ve studied this for over a year and I honestly believe it will be a much larger problem than we can imagine.
2006-10-16 18:32:16
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answer #1
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answered by starlight 3
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2016-10-19 09:55:07
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answer #2
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answered by Anonymous
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