Why are so-called NBA "analyst" usually wrong?

Question

They call this player "the one most likely to be a bust" on draft night, but it turns out wrong.

or the other way around.

They scout an international player and give an analysis, but it's wrong.

Just some examples

Are they credible?

Answer 1

Its because they see how a player plays the game and their tendencies and try to predict what kind of an impact they would have with their team and against NBA players. However, its hard to tell how much better a player might get before or during the course of a season or how he will react to playing in THE LEAGUE. Its not that they are dead wrong, they are trying to predict the future and thats always shady.....its an educated guess but its by no means fool proof...

Answer 2

Predicting the future is guess work. True, at least they know the game and what it takes. They look at the outside and see the player is good, however they can't see the inside, so sometimes they are wrong. It takes more than being an athlete to make it. It takes hard work and the hunger to win. A player can't think how good he is, but must have the heart to be even better. Only the guy up there with the big G on his sweat shirt, knows the out come and he isn't telling.

Answer 3

I think you are really exagerrating the situation. Most analysts are usually right. My guess is that you were right a couple of times in cases where you disagreed with the analyst. Also, are you just picking 1 analyst or all... I ask because, 1 guy may say yes while 9 say no... or vice versa... just because 1 out 10 guys are wrong, doesn't mean that they are all usually wrong. I'd be willing to bet that they have the same, if not better, assessment than the people who are actually picking the players (i.e. GM's, owners, and coaches).

Answer 4

they are not always wrong. take lebron for an example. analyst said that he's good..and he is good, even better.
i think, when analysts makes a judgement, it was all base on theory and all that. there always is gonna be factor 'x'. lemme put it this way. you see a person, 7 feet tall, well build, can shoot well, and drible like a guard. almost automatically, you'd said that this guy will do well in bball. but then when a team drafted him, he doenst do well. maybe because of his mentality is not suited for a real game, or maybe because he is too selfish, etc. my point is, there are to many aspects for a person to succed. if a person with a limited physycs been told that he won't succed playing bball, he can take it in 2 ways, either that will encourage him to prove them wrong, or he'll just get discourage playing bball.

Answer 5

Because they usually try to overthink what shouldn't be. The fact is the guys with the best genetics and bodies are usually the best. Kobe, Jordan, Iverson, and for big men Shaq, Hakeem, Chambelin. I mean there are exceptions to the rule but sometimes they just get down right ridiculous with their over analysis of the obvious.

Answer 6

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Answer 7

the thing is, everyone is an analyst. The thing is, me and u go by wut we know, when we see them play. The analysts go by wut numbers say The look at numbers and so tahts y they can statisticlly figure out stuff. Yeah most of the tiem they are wrong, beacuse statistically looking it, its easier to choose, like in detriot vs miami i made stats and i saw that hey det can beat miami but these oter x factors that they usually don't considerate, but now tehy are. Cuz more people are talking and more people think bout it.

Answer 8

these are bunch of liars trying to sell their something... just like a used car salesman selling you an alleged A1 condition car but end eup conking on the following day... dont believe in them, i call them analiars

Answer 9

Because they get paid to say big words that half of them dont even know what they mean.

Answer 10

The reason why they are sometimes wrong is that no one can predict the future.