What will Isreal do, as Iran approaches development of a nuclear weapon, despite other efforts by the west.?

Answer 1

It seems highly unlikely that Iran intends to use its enriched uranium only for nuclear power. Russia offered to give Iran the uranium it needed for nuclear power but Iran refused. The lower grade enriched uranium can be used for nuclear power and higher grade enriched uranium for nuclear bombs.

Iran claims that it wants enriched uranium for use in its nuclear power plant. Iran could use its oil to run its power plants but prefers to sell it for example, to China. However, it seems that Iran's Supreme Leader Sayyid Ali Khamenei, who is also the commander-in-chief of the military, wants to change the balance of power in the Middle East.

Mohammad Nabi Rudaki stated that 164 centrifuge sets are now enriching uranium up to 4.5 percent grade....to provide our industrial and power plant needs in nuclear fuel, we will soon embark on enriching uranium to the grade of 9 percent in 3000 centrifuge sets.

On August 22 Ali Larijani, hand delivered Iran's 21-page response to UNSC 1696 the package of incentives to dissuage Iran from uranium enrichment. Iran's top nuclear negotiator said that Tehran was ready to enter "serious negotiations" over its disputed nuclear program but did not say that it was willing to suspend uranium enrichment — the West's key demand. This was because the West had offered many economic incentives.

On August 19, Iran launched a large-scale area, sea and ground exercise he maneuver, the Blow of Zolfaghar (the sword used by Imam Ali), which involved 12 divisions, army Chinook helicopters, unmanned planes, parachutists, electronic war units and special forces. Iran's state-run television reported that the new anti-aircraft system was tested "to make Iranian air space unsafe for our enemies."

On Sunday, August 20, in the Kashan desert about 250 kilometers southeast of the capital of Tehran, Iran tested the Saegheh missile which has a range of between 80 to 250 kilometers. Saegheh means lightning in Farsi. (The language of Iran is not Arabic and Iranians are not Arabs.)
Iran's arsenal also contains the Shahab-3 missile, which means "shooting star" in Farsi, and is capable of carrying a nuclear warhead. It has a range of more than 2,000 kilometers and can reach Israel and US forces in the Middle East.

Iran's military test-fired a series of missiles during large-scale war games in the Persian Gulf in March and April, including a missile it claimed was not detectable by radar that can use multiple warheads to hit several targets simultaneously.

On August 23, 2006 an article about Iran's reply to the incentives proposal, that was posted on the Iranian Foreign Ministry-affiliated website , implied that Iran's nuclear technology had already reached the point of no return: "...

The following are excerpts from the Al-Borz report:

"It is expected that the first anniversary of the forming of the ninth government will be the date of the Ahmadinejad government's 'nuclear birth.'

"... Together with [the celebration of] the anniversary of the forming of the ninth cabinet, the president of the country [Mahmoud Ahmadinejad] will hold his third press conference... where he will answer questions from journalists from Iran and from abroad.

"In addition to detailing the activities of the government at the end of [its first] year, the head of the government [i.e. Ahmadinejad] will officially present Iran's positions on: economic and cultural matters, the nuclear dossier, the activities of nuclear research centers, and developments in the region."

If what Iran wanted was nuclear power, Iran could have opted for a "light water" nuclear power plant instead of the "heavy water" nuclear power plant at Arak. Also, it has been persistent to deter IAEA inspectors on certain properties which had been agreed to under the NPT (nuclear non-proliferation treaty.)

Ali Soltanieh, Iran's permanent representative to the IAEA, denied that Iran had refused UN inspectors' access to its underground nuclear facilities at Natanz in central Iran. Iran needs to enrich uranium as a peaceful, alternative energy source and has the right to do so under the NPT, according to Iranian officials. They have told the IAEA that the traces of enriched uranium came from equipment purchased from another country, which was already contaminated.

Iran does not allow for remote monitoring of the PFEP (Pilot Feul Enrichment Plant). Or monitoring of the PHRC (Physics Research Center). Or monitoring of the P-1 and P-2 centrifuges.

On August 31, the UNSC reviewed the report from the Director General of the IAEA establishing that Iran has not ceased full and sustained suspension of all uranium enrichment and research activities.

On September 9-10, Ali Larijani, Iran's negotiator met with EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana in Vienna to discuss incentives for Iran to discontinue enrichment of uranium. Aliasghar Soltanieh, Iranian ambassador to the U.N. nuclear watchdog agency who accompanied Larijani during part of his visit, denied that a suspension was discussed with Solana. "Iran has openly said that there is no legal and technical basis for such a demand (to suspend enrichment)," he told Iranian state television in an interview aired from Vienna.
On September 10, Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman Hamid-Reza Asefi stressed, "The era of suspension (of uranium enrichment) is over."
"The question of the suspension (of uranium enrichment) is a thing of the past. Iran will not take a step back."

The UNSC will meet on September 11 to begin drafting its response to Iran's refusal to stop enriching uranium by August 31 in compliance UNSC Resolution 1696 and the requirements of the IAEA. The final draft of sanctions for Iran violating Resolution 1696, will be presented before the general assembly next week which may adopt appropriate measures under Article 41 of Chapter VII of the Charter of the United Nations.

Russia and China have resisted U.S. pressure for fast action on sanctions even though they agree to them as a lever. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, whose country is selling Iran hundred of millions of dollars in nuclear materials said, "We cannot support ultimatums that lead everyone to a dead end." Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao, whose country imports almost 12 percent of its oil from Iran said, "The parties involved should be cautious about moving toward sanctions". And French Foreign Minister Philippe Douste-Blazy last week appeared to suggest that the demand to stop enrichment before any talks on Iran's nuclear program begin was negotiable.

Iran Emrooz (Iran Today) quoted Ayatollah Mohammad Baqer Kharrazi, secretary-general of Iranian Hezbollah, as saying in a February 14, 2005, speech, "We are able to produce atomic bombs and we will do that. We shouldn't be afraid of anyone. The U.S. is not more than a barking dog."
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On May 29, 2005, Hojjat ol-Islam Gholam Reza Hasani, the Supreme Leader's personal representative to the province of West Azerbaijan, declared possession of nuclear weapons to be one of Iran's top goals. "An atom bomb . . . must be produced as well," he said."That is because the Qur'an has told Muslims to 'get strong and amass all the forces at your disposal to be strong.'"
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As a confidant of the Supreme Leader, Hasani provides a window into his thinking. In February 2006, Rooz (Day), an Iranian website close to the Islamic Republic's reformist camp, quoted Mohsen Gharavian, a Qom theologian close to Ayatollah Mohammad Taghi Mesbah Yazdi, one of the Islamic Republic's staunchest ideologues, as saying it was only "natural" for the Islamic Republic to possess nuclear weapons.

Here is a list of Iran's key nuclear sites . If you go to the website you can see a map and satellite photos. It is interesting that Iran's nuclear technology matches application for weapon use and does not match power applications.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/4617398.stm#esfahan

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BUSHEHR - Nuclear power station
Iran's nuclear programme began in 1974 with plans to build a nuclear power station at Bushehr with German assistance. The project was abandoned because of the Islamic revolution five years later, but revived in 1992 when Tehran signed an agreement with Russia to resume work at the site. There are two pressurised water reactors at the site - one reportedly near completion.

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ISFAHAN - Uranium conversion plant
Iran is building a plant here to convert uranium ore into three forms:
** Hexafluoride gas - used in gas centrifuges
** Uranium oxide - used to fuel reactors, albeit not the type Iran is constructing
** Metal - often used in the cores of nuclear bombs.

The IAEA is concerned about the metal's use, as Iran's reactors do not require it as fuel.

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NATANZ - Uranium enrichment plant
Iran suspended work on an uranium enrichment plant at Natanz in 2003 - but has recently reopened the facility. In 2003, a leaked International Atomic Energy Agency report said that weapons-grade uranium had been found in samples taken from the site, although Iran blamed contaminated imported equipment, and an independent report later confirmed this.
According to some estimates, when complete, Natanz could house some 50,000 advanced gas centrifuges, which would produce enough weapons-grade uranium to produce more than 20 weapons per year. Other estimates suggest the plant will have a total of 5,000 centrifuges when initial stages of the project are completed. With that number, Iran would be able to produce sufficient enriched uranium to make a small number of nuclear weapons each year.

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ARAK - Heavy water plant
The apparent existence of a heavy water facility near the town of Arak first emerged with the publication of satellite images by the US-based Institute for Science and International Security in December 2002. Heavy water is used to moderate the nuclear fission chain reaction either in a certain type of reactor - albeit not the type that Iran is currently building - or produce plutonium for use in a nuclear bomb.

U.S. Central Command is updating a target list for Iran. Retired Gen. McInerney advocates using B-2 stealth bombers, cruise missiles and jet fighters to conduct a one- or two-day bombing campaign to take out Iran's air defenses, military facilities and about 40 nuclear targets, which includes the Russian-built reactor and an enrichment plant at Bushehr. Israel has drafted plans for air strikes using long-range versions of the F-15 and F-16 fighters.

Divine Strake - Iran delenda est.

Answer 2

Who says that Iran is developing nuclear weapons? They say they are enriching uranium for power generation.
I have a feeling that this WMD card has been played once too often.

I doubt that the fine folks in Israel care less about Iran and their nuclear program.....it's the funding and arming of Hesbollah and Hamas that has them concerned.

Answer 3

Stop believing the government b.s..

Iran is being targeted by the US for its oil reserves and no more than that. Every country has the right to use Nuclear Power and that is the trend so why not Iran?

Answer 4

Israel will do what is necessary to defend the country from attack unless George Bush tells them to nuke Tehran! Israel has had nuclear weapons for years and so far acted responsibly but there are more nutters in the world than Bush so who knows. Just remember there is one at 10 Downing Street at the moment.

Answer 5

Who says Iran is near getting a nuclear weapon? Scare tactics is all that is. Just like the WMD crap with Iraq...

Answer 6

Nothing, Iran will blow themselves up since the dont know the difference between oranges and apples....its like giving a child a build a robot kit.....

Answer 7

It'll sit back and let one of it's soldiers get kidnapped and then wage a war saying that it was necessary and kill innocent civilians, roads, bridges, power plants saying they were terrorist strongholds...They've killed bout 200 people just for one lousy soldier that was captured...personally the Israelis are slowly turning the world against them...If it was'nt for america the Israelis would have screwed up long ago...they should solve their own country's or states problems before trying to wage wars suppoosedly on terrorists but we all know who the real terrorists are...don't we?...

Answer 8

The those days disclosed CIA intelligence rewards Iran for combating their gorilla conflict against the yank profession of Iraq, and cools the point of the chilly conflict between Iran and the U. S.. an identical intelligence became into withheld in 2003 to create conflict hysteria against Iran, with the intention to make available a militia attack against them and to intimidate Iran by making use of making them have faith we'd attack them. Barring such an attack, Bush II can attempt to tension Iran into backing off of Iraq. The CIA releases the intelligence that should help the plans of Bush II. it is no longer an open democratic organisation. For conflict against Saddam in Iraq it lied with claims of WMD. For the tried attack against Iran (which now's on carry) it lied bearing directly to the state of Iranian weapons progression. Bush i became into head of the CIA, and at the same time as he became into there crafted a plan for militia domination of the area, development underground bunkers in the barren area of Saudi Arabia that we nevertheless occupy. whilst he grew to grow to be President, Bush i began out to have interplay his plan by making use of goading Saddam to attack Kuwait by making use of telling him by diplomatic “back channels” the U. S. does not merchandise if he might take over Kuwait (an historic province of Iraq). as quickly as Saddam invaded of direction, Bush I unleashed conflict plans that allowed the U. S. to proceed to be in the area with militia forces. As a democracy we can't have faith the CIA to furnish us straightforward counsel. The elite view in government is that public opinion in a democracy must be controlled and manipulated. concern of WMD seems to be their favored approach. in actuality, Iran is arising WMD. One ought to question, besides the fact that, how lots of this is a self-satisfying technique led to by Iran attempting to guard itself against the bullying of the Bush dynasty.

Answer 9

They will do nothing...militarily.