http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid={DB2FE1FE-444D-4D59-AF7B-3BF006881A2E}&siteId=mktw
http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?dist=newsfinder&siteid=mktw&guid=%7BD27C8CDA%2D7503%2D46F0%2DA851%2D5A3CEB773E3F%7D&link=&keyword=Top%2011%20'lazy'%20one-fund%20miniportfolios
And another article:
PAUL B. FARRELL
Six strategies for a new bear
'Planet of the Apes' poll triggers review of markets on edge
Last Update: 7:42 PM ET May 22, 2006
ARROYO GRANDE, Calif. (MarketWatch) -- You and I invest in a world where truth is a rare commodity, where guidance from our leaders is all too often misleading propaganda. Today we are not merely skeptical of what we hear, distrustful of everything, fearful of some unknown next shoe dropping ... we doubt ourselves, question our judgment.
In our recent "Planet of the Apes" poll, readers gave the reason for this pervasive distrust: Greed is eroding credibility at the top. See previous Paul B. Farrell.
But so what! Savvy investors remind us that "greed is good" is Wall Street's motto today and always will be. Scandals and reform movements come and go, bulls and bears come and go, but savvy investors know greed is part of the game, they accept that most leaders are not only greedy, "more really never is enough."
Instead, the savvy investor asks a different question: "How do I protect myself from their greed?" They know house odds always favor insiders. So let's review six alternative strategies that you better consider to prepare for the bear market many experts predict. Six strategies to consider if you're looking long-term for a way to survive and thrive.
The recent "Planet of the Apes" poll was about identifying the biggest skimmers, the insiders siphoning the most money off the top of Main Street investors' returns.
In our poll, the Giant Apes ("Rulers") and Orangutans ("Puppet Leaders") were the biggest offenders in this order: Corporate CEOs got the most votes. They were the greediest. Next came Washington politicians, then Wall Street's investment bankers and mutual fund company owners. Those four categories received two-thirds of the vote as the worst skimmers, the greediest, and least trustworthy.
Reader response confirms the widespread public impression that skimming is pervasive. And as in the "Planet of the Apes" movies, humanoid investors are not only at the mercy of the apes conspiracy that controls America's financial system, there is very little that investors can do to change the system. In fact, the system has grown stronger despite the corporate and mutual fund scandals and reforms of the past five years.
So, let's answer the big question, "what should I do to plan for a bear market?" Not everyone has the same risk tolerance, so you have to pick a plan that fits your personality. Here are six possibilities to consider:
Strategy 1. Get out now and go to cash
Remember the 2000-2003 bear market, the massive 43% loss of market cap and a brutal tech crash. So once again, remember Warren Buffett's No. 1 rule of investing: Never lose money. Maybe use the cash to pay down mortgages, pay off debt.
Strategy 2. Ultra-conservative fixed-income option
Back in early 2000 a number of savvy investors saw high price-to-earnings ratios as a clear signal to bail out and hide out in bonds, bond funds and money markets. It worked. In the 2000-2003 bear, one of the portfolios I reviewed returned about 10% a year while the stock market was crashing -- a portfolio allocating a quarter each in short-bonds, intermediate bonds, inflation-protected securities and government savings bonds.
When to get back in stocks? Maybe never. Maybe "better safe than sorry." After all, the market is still below where it was six years ago!
Strategy 3. The entrepreneurial spirit
OK, so sitting on cash doesn't appeal to you and neither does a lot of dull, boring bonds. You want your money working. Take a cue from "The Millionaire Next Door." Turns out most millionaires don't become millionaires by investing in the stock market. They create equity one of three ways: Building businesses, developing real estate or as professionals. They're entrepreneurs, they work for themselves. See story on whether independent consulting is right for you.
The other 96% of Americans who don't become millionaires will retire with relatively small incomes from IRAs, 401(k)s and Social Security.
Strategy 4. 'Mad Money' stock trader
Hyperactive teenagers on speed are hard to take, especially if you have the temperament of a long-term buy-and-hold investor. But for some few investors, the "Mad Money," active stock-trading alternative may be best. Just remember, for successful traders, this is a full-time job. They study market psychology, and know the tricks of playing in a bear market as well as riding the bull.
Most of all, remember that the "more you trade the more you lose," because commissions, taxes and expenses will eat up much of your returns.
Strategy 5. Hot commodities trader
One of my readers tells me he put $10,000 in gold a couple years ago after reading my earlier columns on the two-decade negative returns of gold. I was his contrarian indicator. Now he claims his gold is worth $150,000. Hindsight is great, but I say the risks were high then, and still now.
Betting on commodities is a volatile, highly-leveraged crapshoot. Witness last week's sector sell-off triggering a flight to safety. But, if you've got the guts for high-risk volatility, and you're ready to make a full-time job out of being a commodities investor, review my earlier column. See previous Paul B. Farrell.
Otherwise, satisfy your anxiety by adding a very small percentage of commodities to your asset allocation.
Strategy 6. Relax and do nothing
Yes, this is the omega and alpha of all long-term investment strategies, the ultimate "Plan A." The one that works for most passive investors. If you already have a well-diversified portfolio, you're ready for a bear market (or a bull).
Back a few months ago I updated the performance of five "lazy portfolios" we've been tracking a while. For example, during the bear years of 2000-2002 the Coffeehouse Portfolio beat the S&P 500 by 15% each of the three years, while the Nasdaq dropped 80% and the stock market lost $8 trillion. The Coffeehouse Portfolio is proof you can win in both bull and bear markets, with no trading, no rebalancing, no tinkering with allocations. See previous Paul B. Farrell.
Strategy 6 is the best bet for almost all investors, especially passive investors. But like I said, you have to pick a plan that works for your risk tolerance and personality type. Maybe good fortune will smile on you, like with the guy who thinks I'm his contrarian indicator, who doesn't care if the playing field isn't level, who loves gambling and betting against the house at this casino. If that's your way as an investor, please, be my guest, pick one of the other five plans!
2006-09-03 22:05:11
·
answer #1
·
answered by dredude52 6
·
0⤊
0⤋
You could buy gold, that is companies that mine for gold etc. When the stock market falls, gold stocks tend to go up. Also, with the baby boomers retiring, nursing homes, pharmaceuticals companies, and funeral home chains. The baby boomers was born at the same period, so they will get sick, go to nursing home and die in the same time frame. Even if a terrorist attacks, or the stock market falls, they will still need those services so those would be good bets. I personally believe that companies that produce things for the government are good too. As well as companies that make anti terrorist equipment and such are good bets as well. Consider watching CNBC and fox, Mad money, on the monie, and their financial reports are good, do not just watch one though, one slants to the left while the other slants to the right so by watching both you will get a good prospective. Buy a used Micro/Macro economics book and read it and it will help you understand the news as well as some of the language the news groups use.
2006-09-03 20:08:53
·
answer #2
·
answered by Doug favors universal insurance! 3
·
0⤊
0⤋
Many consideration you should have....
How about this one ?
Hi, if you have time, you can read this text and consider about that.
I have actually had some pretty nice results with this (you may want to check it out if you have time):
http://www.cheil.ws
Go there, view the video, and it explains it all from there.
I can walk you through the process step by step if needed just to make sure you are successful. (Please keep in mind; this is NOT a get rich quick scheme.).
In my opinion, the best thing about this is that it doesn’t require a high startup investment. (Considering you can start for free).
I definitely recommend test driving it.
If you have any questions, please feel free to contact me on aol email ( elkanahslave@aol.com ) or daum email ( dhkdshdp@hanmail.net ). I'd love to give you more details! Hope This Helps and Good Luck !
Below things are my relative sites.
http://www.my.ws/kingslave
http://www.freedom.ws/kingslave => To watch the online version of the GDI DVD!
http://www.website.ws/kingslave/spanish/show
http://www.website.ws/kingslave/espanol/show
Thank you.
2006-09-03 19:54:00
·
answer #3
·
answered by kingslave 2
·
1⤊
0⤋
itthat is basically human nature. the reality of the count number is....it makes the case that american politics is complete of corruption...on both area of the aisle. i'm no longer so certain that some rogue IRS brokers attempting to make existence complicated on tea partiers compares to most of the shenanigans that went on say in the course of the Nixon adminstration or maybe more effective at present in the course of the Bush administration and Bush years to attempt to achieve " an eternal Republican majority" as Karl Rove positioned it.... yet i'm certain, that some Republicans probable imagine its worse than Watergate..that Benghazi is worse than Watergate and so on... lol The tax code does no longer a lot choose simplification...which i will admit simplification isn't a nasty ingredient...yet what the tax code extremely desires for the perfect economic/economic well-being of the country and citizenry at great is to have more effective of a challenge that harkens again to in the course of the eras that our u . s . did way more effective....the idea that the rich could pay an stronger percentage than what they pay now..and that huge companies must have a lot less tax breaks, and that authorities exists to serve each and every of the human beings and is not any longer only a device to advance and safeguard the wealth of the rich and the large companies they own. Having suggested this....i imagine the capital useful aspects ought to and should be raised to twenty-5%. i imagine the actual marginal tax prices could pass again to what they were before our decline began.....to be sure, to what they were even as Ronald Reagan took place of work say round 1980, which replaced right into a 70% actual marginal fee. What i ought to do is keep the prices as they're actually for everybody...yet starting up round $three hundred,000 pass gradually to 40-one%, perchance round $400,000 pass to 40 3%, then at $500,000 40 5%...and on and on...until eventually once you're making over $ 3 million you're at a 50% bracket up until eventually you get to say once you're making over $10 million you're at a 70% actual bracket. Yeah yeah ..i comprehend a few of you imagine it really is loopy yet its actually an rather practtical plan...and that i ascertain that a) we does no longer have a funds deficit challenge...and that our roads should be nicer and our bridges safer and we would also be speaking about recuperating medicare and social safe practices for our voters truly of slicing them.....
2016-12-06 08:49:00
·
answer #4
·
answered by ? 3
·
0⤊
0⤋