When we sanction Iran for enriching uranium, they will not want to sell us their oil. China will be reluctant to sanction Iran because it does get oil from Iran, but China will probably not veto the UNSC vote on September 15. It will probably abstain as will Russia.
Iran actually could use its oil for energy production. It would be way cheaper than nuclear technology. Nuclear technology is pursued for those countries without oil.
The US will not benefit from the oil in Iran.....
So will Iran use nuclear weapons? You bet they will. It is in the Qur'an to use all the power.
The Islamic Republic of Iran is a constitutional theocracy.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_of_Iran
The commander-in-chief of the military is **not** the President. The President is elected to a four-year term. The true power under Iran's constitution is the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Khamenei who is appointed for life by the council of mujtahid experts (clerics).
Since 2005 Iran's clerics have made statements about the "right" and "need" that Iran has to possess nuclear weapons. Meanwhile, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad declares that Iran's acquisition of nuclear technology is for peaceful nuclear power. http://www.fisiusa.org/fisi_News_items/news109.htm
(Actually, President Ahmadinejad's dialog is taqiyah 'dissimulation' to protect Islam in Iran.)
http://www.meforum.org/article/1002
http://www.wahhabism-info.com/AkhtarRizvi/Taqiyah.htm
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Iran Emrooz (Iran Today) quoted Ayatollah Mohammad Baqer Kharrazi, secretary-general of Iranian Hezbollah, as saying in a February 14, 2005, speech, "We are able to produce atomic bombs and we will do that. We shouldn't be afraid of anyone. The U.S. is not more than a barking dog."[32]
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On May 29, 2005, Hojjat ol-Islam Gholam Reza Hasani, the Supreme Leader's personal representative to the province of West Azerbaijan, declared possession of nuclear weapons to be one of Iran's top goals. "An atom bomb . . . must be produced as well," he said."That is because the Qur'an has told Muslims to 'get strong and amass all the forces at your disposal to be strong.'"[33]
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As a confidant of the Supreme Leader, Hasani provides a window into his thinking. In February 2006, Rooz (Day), an Iranian website close to the Islamic Republic's reformist camp, quoted Mohsen Gharavian, a Qom theologian close to Ayatollah Mohammad Taghi Mesbah Yazdi, one of the Islamic Republic's staunchest ideologues, as saying it was only "natural" for the Islamic Republic to possess nuclear weapons.[34]
Here is a list of Iran's key nuclear sites . If you go to the website you can see a map and satellite photos. It is interesting that Iran's nuclear technology matches application for weapon use and does not match power applications.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/4617398.stm#esfahan
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BUSHEHR - Nuclear power station
Iran's nuclear programme began in 1974 with plans to build a nuclear power station at Bushehr with German assistance. The project was abandoned because of the Islamic revolution five years later, but revived in 1992 when Tehran signed an agreement with Russia to resume work at the site. There are two pressurised water reactors at the site - one reportedly near completion.
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ISFAHAN - Uranium conversion plant
Iran is building a plant here to convert uranium ore into three forms:
** Hexafluoride gas - used in gas centrifuges
** Uranium oxide - used to fuel reactors, albeit not the type Iran is constructing
** Metal - often used in the cores of nuclear bombs.
The IAEA is concerned about the metal's use, as Iran's reactors do not require it as fuel.
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NATANZ - Uranium enrichment plant
Iran suspended work on an uranium enrichment plant at Natanz in 2003 - but has recently reopened the facility. In 2003, a leaked International Atomic Energy Agency report said that weapons-grade uranium had been found in samples taken from the site, although Iran blamed contaminated imported equipment, and an independent report later confirmed this.
According to some estimates, when complete, Natanz could house some 50,000 advanced gas centrifuges, which would produce enough weapons-grade uranium to produce more than 20 weapons per year. Other estimates suggest the plant will have a total of 5,000 centrifuges when initial stages of the project are completed. With that number, Iran would be able to produce sufficient enriched uranium to make a small number of nuclear weapons each year.
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ARAK - Heavy water plant
The apparent existence of a heavy water facility near the town of Arak first emerged with the publication of satellite images by the US-based Institute for Science and International Security in December 2002. Heavy water is used to moderate the nuclear fission chain reaction either in a certain type of reactor - albeit not the type that Iran is currently building - or produce plutonium for use in a nuclear bomb.
On August 19, Iran launched a large-scale area, sea and ground exercise he maneuver, the Blow of Zolfaghar (the sword used by Imam Ali), which involved 12 divisions, army Chinook helicopters, unmanned planes, parachutists, electronic war units and special forces. Iran's state-run television reported that the new anti-aircraft system was tested "to make Iranian air space unsafe for our enemies."
On Sunday, August 20, in the Kashan desert about 250 kilometers southeast of the capital of Tehran, Iran tested the Saegheh missile which has a range of between 80 to 250 kilometers. Saegheh means lightning in Farsi. (The language of Iran is not Arabic and Iranians are not Arabs.)
Iran's arsenal also contains the Shahab-3 missile, which means "shooting star" in Farsi, and is capable of carrying a nuclear warhead. It has a range of more than 2,000 kilometers and can reach Israel and US forces in the Middle East.
Iran's military test-fired a series of missiles during large-scale war games in the Persian Gulf in March and April, including a missile it claimed was not detectable by radar that can use multiple warheads to hit several targets simultaneously.
On August 23, 2006 an article about Iran's reply to the incentives proposal, that was posted on the Iranian Foreign Ministry-affiliated website , implied that Iran's nuclear technology had already reached the point of no return: "...
The following are excerpts from the Al-Borz report:
"It is expected that the first anniversary of the forming of the ninth government will be the date of the Ahmadinejad government's 'nuclear birth.'
"... Together with [the celebration of] the anniversary of the forming of the ninth cabinet, the president of the country [Mahmoud Ahmadinejad] will hold his third press conference... where he will answer questions from journalists from Iran and from abroad.
"In addition to detailing the activities of the government at the end of [its first] year, the head of the government [i.e. Ahmadinejad] will officially present Iran's positions on: economic and cultural matters, the nuclear dossier, the activities of nuclear research centers, and developments in the region."
2006-09-02 10:09:04
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answer #1
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answered by Anonymous
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Iran would definately use its nuclear weapons one day, either against the USA or Israel. Because at one point or the other they would be prompted to use it. It is just like asking, will US retaliate against any powerful military force that attack Israel. The answer is an outright yes.
If Iran had no oil it would still not have changed the American approach to the situation. Since it is a country with a high Muslim population and strong support for Palestine and Islam. But if Iran is not a country with the aforementioned charateristics, it wouldnt have mattered that much. Afterall Korea publicly admitted having nuclear weapons almost a decade ago and have not been raided by the US and has no serious plan of raiding it.
2006-09-01 07:58:23
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answer #2
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answered by MAFOKOCHIZHI 2
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