Highly unlikely. There is no "if" about it. Iran is planning to have a nuclear bomb. The rest of the world is trying to stop it from having a nuclear bomb. Even China who gets a lot of oil from Iran has urged Iran to stop enriching uranium.
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khameini avers that Iran has a right to have nuclear weapons. Leaders of the Iranian hard-line regime, believe they have a direct line to God, and they'll do whatever 'divine inspiration' requires them to do. Talking to them is pointless. President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad reflects the attitude of the religious leaders.
Mohammad Nabi Rudaki stated that 164 centrifuge sets are now enriching uranium up to 4.5 percent grade....to provide our industrial and power plant needs in nuclear fuel, we will soon embark on enriching uranium to the grade of 9 percent in 3000 centrifuge sets.
On August 22 Ali Larijani, hand delivered Iran's 21-page response to UNSC 1696 the package of incentives to dissuage Iran from uranium enrichment. Iran's top nuclear negotiator said that Tehran was ready to enter "serious negotiations" over its disputed nuclear program but did not say that it was willing to suspend uranium enrichment — the West's key demand. This was because the West had offered many economic incentives.
On August 19, Iran launched a large-scale area, sea and ground exercise he maneuver, the Blow of Zolfaghar (the sword used by Imam Ali), which involved 12 divisions, army Chinook helicopters, unmanned planes, parachutists, electronic war units and special forces. Iran's state-run television reported that the new anti-aircraft system was tested "to make Iranian air space unsafe for our enemies."
On Sunday, August 20, in the Kashan desert about 250 kilometers southeast of the capital of Tehran, Iran tested the Saegheh missile which has a range of between 80 to 250 kilometers. Saegheh means lightning in Farsi. (The language of Iran is not Arabic and Iranians are not Arabs.)
Iran's arsenal also contains the Shahab-3 missile, which means "shooting star" in Farsi, and is capable of carrying a nuclear warhead. It has a range of more than 2,000 kilometers and can reach Israel and US forces in the Middle East.
Iran's military test-fired a series of missiles during large-scale war games in the Persian Gulf in March and April, including a missile it claimed was not detectable by radar that can use multiple warheads to hit several targets simultaneously.
The Iranian news service Al-Borz, predicted that on the first anniversary of Iranian President Ahmadinejad's government, in late August 2006, Ahmadinejad is expected to announce what the news service called Iran's "nuclear birth."
In addition, an August 23, 2006 article about Iran's reply to the incentives proposal, that was posted on the Iranian Foreign Ministry-affiliated website , implied that Iran's nuclear technology had already reached the point of no return: "...
The following are excerpts from the Al-Borz report:
"It is expected that the first anniversary of the forming of the ninth government will be the date of the Ahmadinejad government's 'nuclear birth.'
"... Together with [the celebration of] the anniversary of the forming of the ninth cabinet, the president of the country [Mahmoud Ahmadinejad] will hold his third press conference... where he will answer questions from journalists from Iran and from abroad.
"In addition to detailing the activities of the government at the end of [its first] year, the head of the government [i.e. Ahmadinejad] will officially present Iran's positions on: economic and cultural matters, the nuclear dossier, the activities of nuclear research centers, and developments in the region."
If what Iran wanted was nuclear power, Iran could have opted for a "light water" nuclear power plant instead of the "heavy water" nuclear power plant at Arak. Also, it has been persistent to deter IAEA inspectors on certain properties which had been agreed to under the NPT (nuclear non-proliferation treaty.)
The UNSC will use diplomatic and economic sanctions including a ban on missile and nuclear technology to Tehran; international refusal to grant entry visas to those involved in Iran’s nuclear program and a freeze of their assets as well as a ban on investment in the country. Don't count on Russia and China to block that sanction vote.
U.S. Central Command is updating a target list for Iran. Retired Gen. McInerney advocates using B-2 stealth bombers, cruise missiles and jet fighters to conduct a one- or two-day bombing campaign to take out Iran's air defenses, military facilities and about 40 nuclear targets, which includes a Russian-built reactor and an enrichment plant at Bushehr. Israel has drafted plans for air strikes using long-range versions of the F-15 and F-16 fighters.
Ali Soltanieh, Iran's permanent representative to the IAEA, denied that Iran had refused UN inspectors' access to its underground nuclear facilities at Natanz in central Iran. Iran needs to enrich uranium as a peaceful, alternative energy source and has the right to do so under the NPT, according to Iranian officials. They have told the IAEA that the traces of enriched uranium came from equipment purchased from another country, which was already contaminated.
Iran does not allow for remote monitoring of the PFEP (Pilot Feul Enrichment Plant). Or monitoring of the PHRC (Physics Research Center). Or monitoring of the P-1 and P-2 centrifuges.
On August 31, the UNSC will review the report from the Director General of the IAEA regarding whether Iran has established full and sustained suspension of all uranium enrichment and research activities. Pending the outcome of the report the UNSC will vote on sanctions for Iran violating Resolution 1696 and adopt appropriate measures under Article 41 of Chapter VII of the Charter of the United Nations to persuade Iran to comply with Resolution 1696 and the requirements of the IAEA.
2006-08-30 22:09:11
·
answer #1
·
answered by Anonymous
·
1⤊
1⤋
IMHO, regionally, iran has only one enemy. That is israel.
I don't think Iran will do anything once they get the nuclear bomb working. It is used for scare tactics and for bluffing. And it is also serve for balance of power.
Israeli has been posting it's will on other neighbor countries because of it's military capabilities. Also because Israel has nuclear weapon also.
If Iran has the WMD, it then has a stronger and louder voice at Israel. That will certainly back off Israeli from invading the neighbor countries.
I question Iran will really use it because once it is used, it is end of the middle east.
It won't be peaceful in middle east ever. But now with both sides having heavy duty weapon, they will just be bluffing and yelling at each other. They will hesistate to use it for real.
2006-08-30 23:33:07
·
answer #2
·
answered by Just_curious 4
·
0⤊
0⤋
Even USA with atomic arsenals to destroy the world ten-times over never used it after the test-use in Hiroshima-Nagasaki.Strategists say that Japan was on the verge of collapse and would have surrendered even with the show of such brute force. Soviet Russia with such a formidable arsenals only itself suffered with the leakage at Chernobyl. The antics of North Korea are but a matter of diversion. Atomic weapons by themselves can never win a war. The Indian and Pakistani atomics is just a matter of convincing themselves that they are invincible. Israel will never dare to use it against its 'enemies'. Mao's famous statement that even if the American atom bombs were to annihillate half of Chinese population the remaining would be more than double the size of USA population is famous. Iran's move to acquire atomic weapons is only to satisfy itself that it is a prime power in the middle east. At present nobody , not even the Arab States, take Iran seriously. Its show in the conflict with Iraq shows that much of what it boasts are just that boastes.It knows very well that should it dare to wield the weapon the hand that wielded it would be cut from the root. I feel USA should rather show some indulgence to Iran for its earnest desire to strut as a local power.
2006-08-30 23:36:46
·
answer #3
·
answered by Prabhakar G 6
·
0⤊
0⤋
They wouldn't remain peaceful. Not after the Iranian President has stated over and over again that he wants Israel destroyed. Also I don't support and open debate between the US President and Iranian President. All the debate really is a ploy to get attention back off the issues of nuclear weapons on to Bush. And why would we want to talk to this guy any how. Lets just get over the politic rhetoric and drop the EMP Bomb on the Iranian Nuke Facility already.
2006-08-31 00:15:00
·
answer #4
·
answered by Madness_75 2
·
0⤊
2⤋
That's the million dollar question but peace in the middle east has nothing to do with the bomb. It's all about Israel and the land that they're on that the Arabs believe is theirs. Sooner or later some idiot will get the bomb and if we don't straighten out this land issue with Israel it will be either us or Israel that gets hit.
2006-08-30 23:35:26
·
answer #5
·
answered by remmo16 4
·
0⤊
0⤋
They are not peaceful now so it can't remain what it is not. They gave Hezzbolah over $100 million in aid and lots of those rockets they launched into Israel came from Iran. They provide Iraqi insurgents the materials for improvised explosive devices to kill our soldiers and the new Iraqi security forces because the government being formed is not "close enough" to them. So they can not "remain" peaceful as they are not peaceful in anyway.
The real question is will they hand off the nuclear device to a wacked out Islamic group on Jihad or simply an anti Israeli group
2006-08-30 23:25:13
·
answer #6
·
answered by netjr 6
·
1⤊
3⤋
since the Iranian President asked George Bush to join him in a public debate of the issues and Bush refused without giving reason, and since the majority of people in Iran are moderates, and since a muslim nation has never attacked a non-muslim nation yet, i'd say they'll remain peaceful as long as they are allowed to.
but why even be worrying about Iran, when the USA and Israel have already used so very many Depleted Uranium weapons (and white phosphorus, too) in their Middle East (and elsewhere) aggressions they have committed? shouldn't you be worried about the deadly poisons those two countries have already unleashed upon us all and our sacred garden harbor called earth?
oh...riiight. i forgot. Master Tyrant George decreed we must be eternally afraid of "THEM", "the other", so i guess we shouldn't think for ourselves but just unquestioningly do as he decrees, eh?
2006-08-31 00:02:15
·
answer #7
·
answered by Anonymous
·
0⤊
0⤋
if.. is the operative word here. They are years away from that type of enrichment and as they are members of the nuclear power global society, they are within their rights to produce electricity for their people. ...really, imagine if China rang up the planet and said.."Uh Oh America is making electricity for themselves.. we need sanctions" . how do you think that would sit.. ? This requires an open minded thought process I know.. but try.
and before any of you right wing extremists get going ..the analogy is totally fair as both Iran and America are volatile societies.
2006-08-30 23:27:16
·
answer #8
·
answered by hardartsystems 3
·
2⤊
0⤋
Iran is a very peaceful nation, the war mongers and fear creaters are behind this hype. If left alone, it will be very peaceful, but if not left alone, it will be liken to Israel, who knows how to defend her national interests. In my opinion every country has the right to defend its national interests, including Israel, USA and Iran. Transgression is the worst enemy of peace, all nations should avoid it.
2006-08-30 23:28:55
·
answer #9
·
answered by miamian 3
·
1⤊
0⤋
hopefully the would remain more peaceful than the USA which has more bombs (and is more aggressive) than anyone
2006-08-30 23:30:57
·
answer #10
·
answered by anonacoup 7
·
1⤊
0⤋
Sure they would, why wouldn't you believe them when they say this?
Hey, I have some New Orleans mulch I can sell you by the ton, and some fine beach front property right on the gulf coast....
2006-08-30 23:24:36
·
answer #11
·
answered by Iamstitch2U 6
·
1⤊
1⤋